IMDIFFUSION: Imputed Diffusion Models for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series data is of paramount importance for large-scale systems. However, accurately detecting anomalies in such data poses significant challenges due to the need for precise data modeling capability. Existing forecasting and reconstruction-based methods struggle to address these challenges effectively. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel anomaly detection framework named IMDIFFUSION, which combines time series imputation and diffusion models to achieve accurate and robust anomaly detection. The imputation-based approach employed by IMDIFFUSION leverages the information from neighboring values in the time series, enabling precise modeling of temporal and inter-correlated dependencies, reducing uncertainty in the data, thereby enhancing the robustness of the anomaly detection process. IMDIFFUSION further leverages diffusion models as time series imputers to accurately capture complex dependencies. We leverage the step-by-step denoised outputs generated during the inference process to serve as valuable signals for anomaly prediction, resulting in improved accuracy and robustness of the detection process. We evaluate the performance of IMDIFFUSION via extensive experiments on benchmark datasets. The results demonstrate that our proposed framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in terms of detection accuracy and timeliness. IMDIFFUSION is further integrated into the real production system in Microsoft and observes a remarkable 11.4% increase in detection F1 score compared to the legacy approach. To the best of our knowledge, IMDIFFUSION represents a pioneering approach that combines imputation-based techniques with time series anomaly detection, while introducing the novel use of diffusion models to the field.