Integrated decision-making about China?s energy poverty alleviation based on system dynamics

被引：17
作者：
Che, Xiahui [1 ]
Geng, Pengpeng [2 ]
Wang, Dan [3 ]
Fan, Cheng [4 ]
Yuan, Yuehua [5 ]
机构：
[1] Hebei Univ, Sch Management, Baoding 071002, Peoples R China
[2] Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Hefei 230036, Peoples R China
[3] Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710126, Peoples R China
[4] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Management Sci & Engn, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
[5] Hebei Univ, Sch Hist, Baoding 071002, Peoples R China
来源：
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS | 2023年 / 45卷
关键词：
Energy poverty alleviation; Employment; Financial support; Energy structure; System dynamic modeling;
D O I：
10.1016/j.esr.2022.101011
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
An energy poverty policy simulation model is developed to make integrated decision and optimize China's energy poverty alleviation. In the model, system dynamic modeling is used to investigate the time-varying behavior of energy poverty system over time, and scenario analysis is carried to test and determine the most efficient scenario. The results show that energy poverty will move toward a sustainable alleviation from 2021 to 2030. Compared with 2011, the energy poverty index in scenario I - VI will decrease by 47.98%, 62.08%, 43.19%, 53.31%, 62.22% and 88.42% in 2030. Both employment and financial expenditure have a significant positive effect on energy poverty alleviation, while energy structure adjustment plays a double-sided role in alleviating energy poverty. Combination strategy is the most efficient scenario, where China could achieve United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 of providing clean and affordable energy access to all by 2031.
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页数：9
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