The Kocher-Caird Criteria for Pediatric Septic Arthritis of the Hip: Time for a Change in the Kingella Era?

Pediatric septic arthritis of the hip (SAH) in children is a severe pathology, requiring prompt diagnosis and treatment to avoid destructive sequelae of the joint. Its diagnosis can be challenging, however, due to its spectrum of manifestations and differential diagnosis. Last century, multiple research teams studied the curves of systemic inflammation markers to aid the differential diagnosis. Kocher showed that a history of fever >38.5 degrees C, non-weight bearing, an erythrocyte sedimentation rate >40 mm/h, and serum white blood cells >12,000/mm(3) were highly suggestive of SAH, with a predicted probability of 99.6% when all these predictors manifested in pediatric patients. Caird validated these criteria, also adding a C-reactive protein >20 mg/L, reaching a 98% probability of SAH when these five criteria were present. The Kocher and the Caird criteria were then applied in multiple settings, but were never clearly validated. Moreover, they were studied and validated in the years when Kingella kingae was just emerging, and this was probably responsible for false-negative cases in multiple centers. For this reason, the Kocher and the Caird criteria are still at the center of a debate on the diagnostic tools for pediatric SAH. We provide a historical overview of the development of clinical and laboratory test algorithms for pediatric SAH. Further, new perspectives for future research on the prediction rules of pediatric SAH are here proposed.