Individual costs and societal benefits of interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic

被引:16
作者
Traulsen, Arne [1 ]
Levin, Simon A. [2 ]
Saad-Roy, Chadi M. [3 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Evolutionary Biol, Dept Theoret Biol, D-24306 Plon, Germany
[2] Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[3] Princeton Univ, Lewis Sigler Inst Integrat Genom, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[4] Univ Calif Berkeley, Miller Inst Basic Res Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[5] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Integrat Biol, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
prisoner's dilemma; social conflict; evolutionary game theory; VACCINATION; SARS-COV-2; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.2303546120
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Individual , societal reactions to an ongoing pandemic can lead to social dilemmas: In some cases, each individual is tempted to not follow an intervention, but for the whole society, it would be best if they did. Now that in most countries, the extent of regulations to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission is very small, interventions are driven by individual decision-making. Assuming that individuals act in their best own interest, we propose a framework in which this situation can be quantified, depending on the protection the intervention provides to a user and to others, the risk of getting infected , the costs of the intervention. We discuss when a tension between individual and societal benefits arises and which parameter comparisons are important to distinguish between different regimes of intervention use.
引用
收藏
页数:7
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