In this paper, an optimal control model for the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is investigated. We established important model properties like nonnegativity and boundedness of solutions, and also the region of invariance. Further, an expression for the basic reproduction number is computed and its sensitivity w.r.t model parameters is carried out to identify the most sensitive parameter. Based on sensitivity analysis, optimal control strategies were presented to reduce the disease burden and related costs. It is demonstrated that optimal control does exist and is unique. The characterization of optimal trajectories is analytically studied via Pontryagin's Minimum Principle. Moreover, various simulations were performed to support analytical results. The simulation results showed that the proposed controls significantly influence the disease burden compared to the absence of control cases. Further, it reveals that the applied control strategies are effective throughout the intervention period in reducing COVID-19 diseases in the community. Besides, the simulation results of the optimal control suggested that concurrently applying all controlling strategies outperform in mitigating the spread of COVID-19 compared to any other preventive measures.
机构:
Shanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Shanxi Univ, Shanxi Key Lab Math Tech & Big Data Anal Dis Cont, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Song, Haitao
Wang, Ruifeng
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Shanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Shanxi Univ, Shanxi Key Lab Math Tech & Big Data Anal Dis Cont, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Shanxi Univ, Sch Math Sci, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Wang, Ruifeng
Liu, Shengqiang
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Tiangong Univ, Sch Math Sci, Tianjin 300387, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Liu, Shengqiang
Jin, Zhen
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Shanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Shanxi Univ, Shanxi Key Lab Math Tech & Big Data Anal Dis Cont, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Jin, Zhen
He, Daihai
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Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Appl Math, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
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Univ Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
BIg Data & ModeLing Simulat Res Ctr ABIL, Artificial Intelligence, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGO
Univ Nouveaux Horizons, Fac Comp Sci, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGOUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
Ndondo, A. M.
Kasereka, S. K.
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Univ Kinshasa, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGO
BIg Data & ModeLing Simulat Res Ctr ABIL, Artificial Intelligence, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGOUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
Kasereka, S. K.
Bisuta, S. F.
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Univ Kinshasa, Dept Pneumol, Univ Clin Kinshasa, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGO
BIg Data & ModeLing Simulat Res Ctr ABIL, Artificial Intelligence, Kinshasa, DEM REP CONGOUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
Bisuta, S. F.
Kyamakya, K.
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机构:
Alpen Adria Univ Klagenfurt, Inst Smart Syst Technol, Dept Math Sci, Klagenfurt, AustriaUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
Kyamakya, K.
Doungmo, E. F. G.
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Univ South Africa, Coll Sci Engn & Technol, Dept Math Sci, ZA-003 Florida, South AfricaUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
Doungmo, E. F. G.
Ngoie, R-B. M.
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Inst Super Pedag, Dept Math, Mbanza Ngungu, Rep CongoUniv Lubumbashi, Math & Comp Sci Dept, Lubumbashi, DEM REP CONGO
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Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Zong, Kai
Luo, Cuicui
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Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Int Coll, Zhongguancun East Rd, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaUniv Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China