In this paper, an optimal control model for the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is investigated. We established important model properties like nonnegativity and boundedness of solutions, and also the region of invariance. Further, an expression for the basic reproduction number is computed and its sensitivity w.r.t model parameters is carried out to identify the most sensitive parameter. Based on sensitivity analysis, optimal control strategies were presented to reduce the disease burden and related costs. It is demonstrated that optimal control does exist and is unique. The characterization of optimal trajectories is analytically studied via Pontryagin's Minimum Principle. Moreover, various simulations were performed to support analytical results. The simulation results showed that the proposed controls significantly influence the disease burden compared to the absence of control cases. Further, it reveals that the applied control strategies are effective throughout the intervention period in reducing COVID-19 diseases in the community. Besides, the simulation results of the optimal control suggested that concurrently applying all controlling strategies outperform in mitigating the spread of COVID-19 compared to any other preventive measures.
机构:
Prince Sultan Univ, Dept Math & Gen Sci, Riyadh 11586, Saudi Arabia
China Med Univ, Dept Med Res, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
Asia Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Taichung 41354, TaiwanUniv Sci & Technol, Dept Math, Bannu, Khyber Pakhtunk, Pakistan
机构:
Bayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, NigeriaBayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, Nigeria
Baba, Isa Abdullahi
Nasidi, Bashir Ahmad
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Bayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, NigeriaBayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, Nigeria
Nasidi, Bashir Ahmad
Baleanu, Dumitru
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Cankaya Univ, Dept Math, TR-06530 Ankara, Turkey
Inst Space Sci, Bucharest, Romania
China Med Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taichung, TaiwanBayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, Nigeria
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Al Ain Univ, Coll Engn, Al Ain 64141, U Arab Emirates
Tafila Tech Univ, Dept Math, Tafila 66110, JordanUniv Sci & Technol Bannu, Dept Math, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
Alrabaiah, Hussam
Kumam, Poom
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King Mongkuts Univ Technol Thonburi KMUTT, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Fixed Point Lab,KMUTT Fixed Point Res Lab, Room SCL 802,Sci Lab Bldg, Bangkok 10140, Thailand
China Med Univ, China Med Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taichung 40402, TaiwanUniv Sci & Technol Bannu, Dept Math, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan