Attribution of the July 2021 Record-Breaking Northwest Pacific Marine Heatwave to Global Warming, Atmospheric Circulation, and ENSO

被引:21
作者
Li, Delei [1 ,2 ]
Chen, Yang [3 ]
Qi, Jifeng [1 ,2 ]
Zhu, Yuchao [1 ,2 ]
Lu, Chunhui [4 ]
Yin, Baoshu [1 ,2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[2] Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[3] Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China
[4] China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing, Peoples R China
[5] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; ANTHROPOGENIC CONTRIBUTION; WAVES;
D O I
10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0142.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The 2021 northwest Pacific marine heatwave was favored by the atmospheric and oceanic conditions; changes in the mean climate due to anthropogenic warming made the event 43 times more likely.
引用
收藏
页码:E291 / E297
页数:7
相关论文
共 28 条
[1]   ANTHROPOGENIC WARMING HAS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED THE LIKELIHOOD OF JULY 2017-LIKE HEAT WAVES OVER CENTRAL EASTERN CHINA [J].
Chen, Yang ;
Chen, Wei ;
Su, Qin ;
Luo, Feifei ;
Sparrow, Sarah ;
Tian, Fangxing ;
Dong, Buwen ;
Tett, Simon F. B. ;
Lott, Fraser C. ;
Wallom, David .
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2019, 100 (01) :S91-S95
[2]   Anthropogenic Climate Change and the Record-High Temperature of May 2020 in Western Europe [J].
Christidis, Nikolaos ;
Stott, Peter A. .
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2022, 103 (03) :S33-S37
[3]   A New HadGEM3-A-Based System for Attribution of Weather- and Climate-Related Extreme Events [J].
Christidis, Nikolaos ;
Stott, Peter A. ;
Scaife, Adam A. ;
Arribas, Alberto ;
Jones, Gareth S. ;
Copsey, Dan ;
Knight, Jeff R. ;
Tennant, Warren J. .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (09) :2756-2783
[4]   Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization [J].
Eyring, Veronika ;
Bony, Sandrine ;
Meehl, Gerald A. ;
Senior, Catherine A. ;
Stevens, Bjorn ;
Stouffer, Ronald J. ;
Taylor, Karl E. .
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2016, 9 (05) :1937-1958
[5]   Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes [J].
Fischer, E. M. ;
Knutti, R. .
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2015, 5 (06) :560-564
[6]   The Northwestern Pacific Warming Record in August 2020 Occurred Under Anthropogenic Forcing [J].
Hayashi, Michiya ;
Shiogama, Hideo ;
Emori, Seita ;
Ogura, Tomoo ;
Hirota, Nagio .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021, 48 (01)
[7]   The ERA5 global reanalysis [J].
Hersbach, Hans ;
Bell, Bill ;
Berrisford, Paul ;
Hirahara, Shoji ;
Horanyi, Andras ;
Munoz-Sabater, Joaquin ;
Nicolas, Julien ;
Peubey, Carole ;
Radu, Raluca ;
Schepers, Dinand ;
Simmons, Adrian ;
Soci, Cornel ;
Abdalla, Saleh ;
Abellan, Xavier ;
Balsamo, Gianpaolo ;
Bechtold, Peter ;
Biavati, Gionata ;
Bidlot, Jean ;
Bonavita, Massimo ;
De Chiara, Giovanna ;
Dahlgren, Per ;
Dee, Dick ;
Diamantakis, Michail ;
Dragani, Rossana ;
Flemming, Johannes ;
Forbes, Richard ;
Fuentes, Manuel ;
Geer, Alan ;
Haimberger, Leo ;
Healy, Sean ;
Hogan, Robin J. ;
Holm, Elias ;
Janiskova, Marta ;
Keeley, Sarah ;
Laloyaux, Patrick ;
Lopez, Philippe ;
Lupu, Cristina ;
Radnoti, Gabor ;
de Rosnay, Patricia ;
Rozum, Iryna ;
Vamborg, Freja ;
Villaume, Sebastien ;
Thepaut, Jean-Noel .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2020, 146 (730) :1999-2049
[8]   Centennial-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Analysis and Its Uncertainty [J].
Hirahara, Shoji ;
Ishii, Masayoshi ;
Fukuda, Yoshikazu .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 27 (01) :57-75
[9]   The relationship between ENSO events and sea surface temperature in the East (Japan) Sea [J].
Hong, CH ;
Cho, KD ;
Kim, HJ .
PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY, 2001, 49 (1-4) :21-40
[10]   Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, Version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, Validations, and Intercomparisons [J].
Huang, Boyin ;
Thorne, Peter W. ;
Banzon, Viva F. ;
Boyer, Tim ;
Chepurin, Gennady ;
Lawrimore, Jay H. ;
Menne, Matthew J. ;
Smith, Thomas M. ;
Vose, Russell S. ;
Zhang, Huai-Min .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (20) :8179-8205