Significant Increases in Water Vapor Pressure Correspond with Climate Warming Globally

Global warming has become indisputable in recent years; however, the mechanisms by which water vapor, radiation, and greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide contribute to driving global warming remain unclear, and it is becoming increasingly important to clarify their respective effects on temperature warming. In this study, we used the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) datasets and National Oceanic and the Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Global Monitoring Laboratory (GML) data to investigate the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of global warming and its driving mechanisms. The effects of water vapor, radiation (net longwave radiation), and CO2 on temperature rise are quantified from the perspective of the coupled land-atmosphere system, and water vapor is characterized in terms of the vapor pressure deficit (difference between saturated and actual water vapor pressures) to explicitly characterize its impact on the global water-heat cycle. The results show the following: (1) Under significant global warming, the vapor pressure deficit (VPD) exhibits an increasing trend, which is attributed to the rate of increase in actual water vapor being relatively slower than saturated water vapor. (2) Compared with the significant positive contribution of water vapor to global warming, CO2 is not, as generally expected, the most critical greenhouse gas causing global warming. (3) Water vapor and net longwave radiation (NLR) have significant mutual feedbacks on global warming. (4) A remarkable complementary mechanism of global warming that involves water vapor and NLR was identified, whereby the increased saturated water vapor induced by the rising temperature dominates the decrease in NLR. The results from this study have important theoretical value by enabling a more complete understanding of the contribution of VPD to global climate change and shedding light on the large-scale water vapor-climate change mutual feedback mechanism through research.