Global Dynamics of an Age-Structured Tuberculosis Model with Vaccine Failure and Nonlinear Infection Force

被引:1
|
作者
Guo, Zhongkai [1 ]
Zhang, Liang [2 ]
Zhang, Tianwei
机构
[1] Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China
[2] Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Sci, Yangling 712100, Peoples R China
关键词
tuberculosis; age structure; global stability; sensitivity analysis; LATENT TUBERCULOSIS; MATHEMATICAL-MODEL; BCG VACCINATION; EPIDEMIC MODEL; DISEASE; PREVENTION; STABILITY; STRATEGY;
D O I
10.3390/axioms12090805
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
China bears a heavy burden due to tuberculosis (TB) with hundreds of thousands of people falling ill with the disease every year. Therefore, it is necessary to understand the effectiveness of current control measures in China. In this paper, we first present a TB model that incorporates both vaccination and treatment. Additionally, the model considers TB transmission characteristics such as relapse and variable latency. We then define the basic reproduction number R-0 of the proposed model and indicate that the disease-free equilibrium state is globally asymptotically stable if R-0 < 1, and the endemic equilibrium state is globally asymptotically stable if R-0 > 1. We then apply the Grey Wolf Optimizer algorithm to obtain the parameters and initial values of the model by combining TB data collected in China from 2007 to 2020. Through the partial rank correlation coefficient method, we identify the parameters that are most sensitive to R-0. Based on the analysis results of the model, we propose some suggestions for TB control measures in the conclusion section.
引用
收藏
页数:23
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