Predictors of Return to Activity at 2 Years After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction Among Patients With High Preinjury Marx Activity Scores: A MOON Prospective Cohort Study

Background: Predictors of return to activity after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) among patients with relatively high preinjury activity levels remain poorly understood. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of return to preinjury levels of activity after ACLR, defined as achieving a Marx activity score within 2 points of the preinjury value, among patients with Marx activity scores of 12 to 16 who had been prospectively enrolled in the Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network (MOON) cohort. We hypothesized that age, sex, preinjury activity level, meniscal injuries and/or procedures, and concurrent articular cartilage injuries would predict return to preinjury activity levels at 2 years after ACLR. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. Methods: All unilateral ACLR procedures from 2002 to 2008 performed in patients enrolled in the MOON, with preinjury Marx activity scores ranging from 12 to 16, were evaluated with a specific focus on return to preinjury activity levels at 2 years postoperatively. Return to activity was defined as a Marx activity score within 2 points of the preinjury value. The proportion of patients able to return to preinjury activity levels was calculated, and multivariable modeling was performed to identify risk factors for patients' inability to return to preinjury activity levels. Results: A total of 1188 patients were included in the final analysis. The median preinjury Marx activity score was 16 (interquartile range, 12-16). Overall, 466 patients (39.2%) were able to return to preinjury levels of activity, and 722 patients (60.8%) were not able to return to preinjury levels of activity. Female sex, smoking at the time of ACLR, fewer years of education, lower 36-Item Short Form Health Survey Mental Component Summary scores, and higher preinjury Marx activity scores were predictive of patients' inability to return to preinjury activity levels. Graft type, revision ACLR, the presence of medial and/or lateral meniscal injuries, a history of meniscal surgery, the presence of articular cartilage injuries, a history of articular cartilage treatment, and the presence of high-grade knee laxity were not predictive of a patient's ability to return to preinjury activity level. Conclusion: At 2 years after ACLR, most patients with high preinjury Marx activity scores did not return to their preinjury level of activity. The higher the preinjury Marx activity score that a patient reported at the time of enrollment, the less likely he/she was able to return to preinjury activity level. Smoking and lower mental health at the time of ACLR were the only modifiable risk factors in this cohort that predicted an inability to return to preinjury activity levels. Continued effort and investigation are required to maximize functional recovery after ACLR in patients with high preinjury levels of activity.