realized variance;
stochastic volatility;
Kalman filtering;
state space model;
RETURNS;
ELICITABILITY;
COMPONENTS;
VARIANCE;
KERNELS;
STOCK;
JUMP;
D O I:
10.1515/jtse-2021-0049
中图分类号:
O1 [数学];
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号:
03 ;
0303 ;
0701 ;
070101 ;
摘要:
This paper considers the use of multiple noisy daily realized variance measures to extract a denoised latent variance process. The class of stochastic volatility models used for signal extraction has the important feature that they can be written as a linear state space model. As a result, prediction of the denoised latent variance and likelihood evaluation can be carried out efficiently using the Kalman filter. This is in contrast to stochastic models that jointly model the return and variance, which require computationally expensive nonlinear filtering for prediction and inference. The gain from using multiple noisy daily variance measures is examined empirically for the S & P 500 index using daily OHLC (open-high-low-close) data.
机构:
Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Wang, Tianyi
Cheng, Sicong
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Cheng, Sicong
Yin, Fangsheng
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Yin, Fangsheng
Yu, Mei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Dept Financial Engn, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China