Prognostic value of nutritional and inflammatory markers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who receive immune checkpoint inhibitors

The emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has provided a new treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, further evaluation is needed for determining biomarkers for the use of ICIs. The present study evaluated the prognostic value of certain nutritional and inflammatory markers in patients with HCC who received ICIs. In the present study, the clinical data of 151 patients with HCC who received ICIs at Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were collected. The blood parameters of all patients before treatment were collected to evaluate certain nutritional and inflammatory markers, including the prognostic nutrition index (PNI), nutritional risk index (NRI), geriatric NRI (GNRI), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI). Patients were grouped using the cut-off value calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the relationship between these biomarkers and prognosis was evaluated through survival analysis. Furthermore, the prognostic value of these biomarkers was assessed through multivariate Cox regression analysis and construction of nomograms. Finally, time-ROC curves were plotted to compare the differences in predicting prognosis between the biomarkers. In the preliminary survival analysis, all inflammatory and nutritional markers included in the present study were significantly associated with the prognosis of HCC in patients who received ICIs. Similar results were obtained in a subgroup analysis of patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that GNRI, PNI, BCLC stage and Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage were significantly associated with progression-free survival (PFS), whereas GNRI, BCLC stage and TNM stage were also significantly associated with overall survival (OS). Furthermore, the time-ROC curves indicated that nutritional indicators had a higher prognostic value in all indexes, especially GNRI. The C-index (95% confidence interval) of the nomograms for predicting the survival probability of patients who received ICIs were 0.801 (0.746-0.877) and 0.823 (0.761-0.898) for PFS and overall OS, respectively, which also showed high accuracy. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that PNI, GNRI, NRI, SII, SIRI and ALI were all related to the efficacy of ICIs in HCC and could serve as non-invasive biomarkers for ICI treatment effectiveness. Moreover, compared with inflammatory markers, nutritional markers had greater predictive ability, with GNRI being the biomarker with the best prognostic value.