Analyzing global utilization and missed opportunities in debt-for-nature swaps with generative AI

被引:1
作者
Tkachenko, Nataliya [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Frieder, Simon [4 ]
Griffiths, Ryan-Rhys [5 ]
Nedopil, Christoph [6 ,7 ,8 ,9 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Smith Sch Enterprise & Environm, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England
[2] Univ Oxford, UK Ctr Greening Finance & Investment, Oxford, England
[3] Alan Turing Inst, Finance & Econ, London, England
[4] Univ Oxford, Dept Comp Sci, Oxford, England
[5] Univ Cambridge, Dept Phys, Cambridge, England
[6] Griffith Univ, Griffith Asia Inst, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
[7] Singapore Management Univ, Sim Kee Boon Inst Financial Econ, Singapore City, Singapore
[8] Fudan Univ, Fanhai Int Sch Finance, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[9] Belt & Rd Initiat Green Coalit, Minist Ecol & Environm Peoples Republ China, Beijing, Peoples R China
来源
FRONTIERS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE | 2024年 / 7卷
关键词
DNS; retrieval augmented generation; nature-based solutions; sustainable credit finance; nature finance; adaptation finance; generative AI; GPT-4;
D O I
10.3389/frai.2024.1167137
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
We deploy a prompt-augmented GPT-4 model to distill comprehensive datasets on the global application of debt-for-nature swaps (DNS), a pivotal financial tool for environmental conservation. Our analysis includes 195 nations and identifies 21 countries that have not yet used DNS before as prime candidates for DNS. A significant proportion demonstrates consistent commitments to conservation finance (0.86 accuracy as compared to historical swaps records). Conversely, 35 countries previously active in DNS before 2010 have since been identified as unsuitable. Notably, Argentina, grappling with soaring inflation and a substantial sovereign debt crisis, and Poland, which has achieved economic stability and gained access to alternative EU conservation funds, exemplify the shifting suitability landscape. The study's outcomes illuminate the fragility of DNS as a conservation strategy amid economic and political volatility.
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页数:12
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