Prognostic utility of albumin-bilirubin grade in Japanese patients with primary biliary cholangitis

Background & Aims: The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is calculated using serum levels of total bilirubin and albumin as a simple method to assess liver function. This study investigated the ability of baseline ALBI score/grade measurements to assess histological stage and disease progression in individuals with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in a large Japanese nationwide cohort.Methods: A total of 8,768 Japanese patients with PBC were enrolled between 1980 and 2016 from 469 institutions, among whom 83% received ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) only, 9% received UDCA and bezafibrate, and 8% were given neither drug. Baseline clinical and laboratory parameters were retrospectively retrieved and reviewed from a central database. Associations of ALBI score/grade with histological stage, mortality, and need for liver transplantation (LT) were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models.Results: During the median follow-up period of 5.3 years, 1,227 patients died (including 789 from liver-related causes) and 113 underwent LT. ALBI score and ALBI grade were significantly associated with Scheuer's classification (both p <0.0001). ALBI grade 2 or 3 had significant associations with all-cause mortality or need for LT as well as liver-related mortality or need for LT according to Cox proportional hazards regression analysis (hazard ratio 3.453, 95% CI 2.942-4.052 and hazard ratio 4.242, 95% CI 3.421-5.260, respectively; both p <0.0001). Cumulative LT-free survival rates at 5 years in the ALBI grade 1, 2, and 3 groups were 97.2%, 82.4%, and 38.8%, respectively, while respective non-liver-related survival rates were 98.1%, 86.0%, and 42.0% (both p <0.0001, log-rank test). Conclusions: This large nationwide study of patients with PBC suggested that baseline measurements of ALBI grade were a simple non-invasive predictor of prognosis in PBC.Impact and implications: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is an autoimmune liver disease characterized by progressive destruction of intrahepatic bile ducts. This study examined the ability of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score/grade to estimate histological findings and disease progression in PBC by means of a large-scale nationwide cohort in Japan. ALBI score/grade were significantly associated with Scheuer's classification stage. Baseline ALBI grade measurements may be a simple non-invasive predictor of prognosis in PBC. (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).