Preoperative Risk Factors for Proptosis Recurrence After Rehabilitative Orbital Decompression in Graves' Orbitopathy Patients

center dot PURPOSE: Rehabilitative orbital decompression treats disfiguring exophthalmos in patients with Graves' orbitopathy (GO). This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with the postoperative recurrence of proptosis after orbital decompression.center dot DESIGN: Retrospective, case-control study.center dot METHODS: This retrospective review included patients with GO who underwent rehabilitative orbital decompression for disfiguring proptosis in an inactive state with a low clinical activity score (0-2) between January 2017 and December 2020 by a single surgeon. Exophthalmos was measured using a Hertel exophthalmometer, and recurrence was defined as an increase of 2 mm or more after decompression during the follow-up period. The association between preoperative variables and proptosis recurrence was analyzed using multivariable logistic regression.center dot RESULTS: Of the total 217 patients, 11 (5.1%) developed recurrence of proptosis during the follow-up period (range, 3-30; mean, 15.6 months). Univariate logistic regression analysis identified thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor antibody (TRAb) and thyroid-stimulating immunoglobulin (TSI) as significant factors for recurrence, with age, sex, smoking, disease duration, orbital radiotherapy, and total thyroidectomy history being nonsignificant. TRAb remained significant in a multivariate logistic regression analysis (odds ratio, 1.06; P = .014). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.86 with a sensitivity of 90.9% and specificity of 82.0% at a TRAb level of 7.96 IU/L.center dot CONCLUSION: Preoperative TRAb and TSI are valuable markers to predict proptosis recurrence after orbital decompression. These results may help surgeons to decide the optimal timing for orbital decompression to lessen the risk of postoperative recurrence of proptosis. (Am J Ophthalmol 2024;258: 110-118.(c) 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)