Rossby waves past the breaking point in zonally dominated turbulence

The spontaneous emergence of structure is a ubiquitous process observed in fluid and plasma turbulence. These structures typically manifest as flows which remain coherent over a range of spatial and temporal scales, resisting statistically homogeneous description. This work conducts a computational and theoretical study of coherence in turbulent flows in the stochastically forced barotropic beta-plane quasi-geostrophic equations. These equations serve as a prototypical two-dimensional model for turbulent flows in Jovian atmospheres, and can also be extended to study flows in magnetically confined fusion plasmas. First, analysis of direct numerical simulations demonstrates that a significant fraction of the flow energy is organized into coherent large-scale Rossby wave eigenmodes, comparable with the total energy in the zonal flows. A characterization is given for Rossby wave eigenmodes as nearly integrable perturbations to zonal flow Lagrangian trajectories, linking finite-dimensional deterministic Hamiltonian chaos in the plane to a laminar-to-turbulent flow transition. Poincare section analysis reveals that Lagrangian flows induced by the zonal flows plus large-scale waves exhibit localized chaotic regions bounded by invariant tori, manifesting as Rossby wave breaking in the absence of critical layers. It is argued that the surviving invariant tori organize the large-scale flows into a single temporally and zonally varying laminar flow, suggesting a form of self-organization and wave stability that can account for the resilience of the observed large-amplitude Rossby waves.