Ambiguity and partial Bayesian updating

被引:2
作者
Kovach, Matthew [1 ]
机构
[1] Purdue Univ, Dept Econ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
关键词
Ambiguity aversion; Dynamic consistency; Full Bayesian updating; Maximum likelihood updating; Partial Bayesian updating; D01; D81; D83; PREFERENCES; SAVAGE;
D O I
10.1007/s00199-023-01528-7
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Models of updating a set of priors either do not allow a decision maker to make inference about her priors (full bayesian updating or FB) or require an extreme degree of selection (maximum likelihood updating or ML). I characterize a general method for updating a set of priors, partial bayesian updating (PB), in which the decision maker (1) utilizes an event-dependent threshold to determine whether a prior is likely enough, conditional on observed information, and then (2) applies Bayes' rule to the sufficiently likely priors. I show that PB nests FB and ML and explore its behavioral properties.
引用
收藏
页码:155 / 180
页数:26
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