Esophageal cancer: Does inaccuracy in clinical staging affect our ability to reach optimal outcomes?

Background: Pretreatment clinical staging is used to decide the course of treatment in early-stage esophageal cancer. Few studies assess the effect of inaccurate clinical staging on oncologic outcomes. Methods: We queried the National Cancer Database to identify patients undergoing esophagectomy for clinical stage cT1bN0 esophageal carcinoma between 2010 and 2019. Patients were categorized as being upstaged if, on final pathology, they had histopathologic disease that would have warranted treatment with neoadjuvant therapy. The textbook oncologic outcome was defined as margin-negative resection, 15 lymph nodes examined, a hospital stay of <21 days, no unplanned 30-day readmission or mortality, and stage-appropriate use of neoadjuvant therapy. Results: In total, 916 patients met inclusion criteria; 378 (41.2%) had a pathologic stage that differed from their pretreatment clinical stage. By multivariable regression, factors associated upstaging included: presentation between 2015 and 2019 (odds ratio 1.92 95% confidence interval [1.19, 3.13]), delay to esophagectomy of >30 days (odds ratio 2.38 95% confidence interval [1.13, 5.57]), larger tumor size (>2 cm relative to <2 cm, odds ratio 2.73 95% confidence interval [1.72, 4.39]), and poorly differentiated histology (odds ratio 2.79 95% confidence interval [1.75, 4.49]). The rate of textbook oncologic outcome assuming reliable clinical staging was 43.8%; accounting for upstaging, the rate of textbook oncologic outcome was 22.5% (P < .001). Conclusion: In patients with cT1bN0 esophageal cancer, tumor size and histology are associated with the risk of inaccurate pretreatment clinical staging. Inaccuracies in clinical staging impact the rate at which providers achieve optimal oncologic outcomes.