This paper features an economy with frictional labour markets, Nash bargaining, cyclical opportunity cost of employment and demand-determined output. I show that the model generates big responses of unemployment to productivity movements. The key insight is that strongly countercyclical markups amplify the impact of aggregate shocks on the fundamental surplus, and as a consequence, on labour market outcomes. This answers the critique of Chodorow-Reich and Karabarbounis that the cyclicality of the opportunity cost poses a challenge to the solution of the unemployment volatility puzzle.
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Stanford Univ, Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Stanford, CA 94305 USAStanford Univ, Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Kehoe, Patrick J.
Lopez, Pierlauro
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Fed Reserve Bank Cleveland, Cleveland, OH USAStanford Univ, Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Lopez, Pierlauro
Midrigan, Virgiliu
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NYU, New York, NY USAStanford Univ, Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Midrigan, Virgiliu
Pastorino, Elena
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Stanford Univ, Stanford, CA USA
Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Hoover Inst, Minneapolis, MN USAStanford Univ, Fed Reserve Bank Minneapolis, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
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Stat Norway & Norges Bank, Bankplassen 2,POB 1179 Sentrum, NO-0107 Oslo, NorwayStat Norway & Norges Bank, Bankplassen 2,POB 1179 Sentrum, NO-0107 Oslo, Norway
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Calif State Univ Bakersfield, Dept Econ, Bakersfield, CA USA
Calif State Univ Bakersfield, 9001 Stockdale Highway,Mail Stop 20 BDC, Bakersfield, CA 93311 USACalif State Univ Bakersfield, Dept Econ, Bakersfield, CA USA