Stock market reactions to monetary policy surprises under uncertainty

被引:11
作者
Benchimol, Jonathan [1 ]
Saadon, Yossi [1 ]
Segev, Nimrod [1 ]
机构
[1] Bank Israel, Jerusalem, Israel
关键词
Monetary policy; Uncertainty; Stock returns; High-frequency data; Event study; RETURNS FINANCING CONSTRAINTS; REAL ACTIVITY; INFORMATION; BULL;
D O I
10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102783
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This article investigates how uncertainty impacts the effect of monetary policy surprises on stock returns. Using high-frequency US data, we demonstrate that stock markets respond more aggressively to monetary policy surprises during periods of high uncertainty. We also show that uncertainty asymmetrically influences the transmission of positive and negative monetary policy surprises to stock market prices. The amplifying effect of uncertainty is found to be stronger for expansionary shocks than for contractionary shocks. Our robustness analysis confirms that financial uncertainty has a significant role in shaping the influence of monetary policy on the stock market.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Economic uncertainty and the influence of monetary policy
    Aastveit, Knut Are
    Natvik, Gisle James
    Sola, Sergio
    [J]. JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2017, 76 : 50 - 67
  • [2] Baker S.R., 2019, Working Paper 25720
  • [3] Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
    Baker, Scott R.
    Bloom, Nicholas
    Davis, Steven J.
    [J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2016, 131 (04) : 1593 - 1636
  • [4] Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles
    Bansal, R
    Yaron, A
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2004, 59 (04) : 1481 - 1509
  • [5] Macroeconomic cycles and the stock market's reaction to monetary policy
    Basistha, Arabinda
    Kurov, Alexander
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2008, 32 (12) : 2606 - 2616
  • [6] Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty
    Bauer, Michael D.
    Lakdawala, Aeimit
    Mueller, Philippe
    [J]. ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 2022, 132 (644) : 1290 - 1308
  • [7] Time-varying monetary-policy rules and financial stress: Does financial instability matter for monetary policy?
    Baxa, Jaromir
    Horvath, Roman
    Vasicek, Borek
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY, 2013, 9 (01) : 117 - 138
  • [8] Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy
    Bekaert, Geert
    Hoerova, Marie
    Lo Duca, Marco
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2013, 60 (07) : 771 - 788
  • [9] What explains the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?
    Bernanke, BS
    Kuttner, KN
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2005, 60 (03) : 1221 - 1257
  • [10] The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks
    Bloom, Nicholas
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2009, 77 (03) : 623 - 685