Electricity Generation Potential Forecast of Beijing Municipal Solid Waste Separation Rate Based on GRA-BiLSTM Model

被引:0
|
作者
Liu, Bingchun [1 ]
Fu, Yi [1 ]
Xiaoqin, Liang [1 ]
Feng, Zijie [1 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Univ Technol, Sch Management, Tianjin 300384, Peoples R China
关键词
Waste-to-energy incineration; Waste recycling; Energy efficiency; Municipal solid waste Electricity generation; BiLSTM; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT; ENERGY RECOVERY; SAO-PAULO; MANAGEMENT; LANDFILL; MSW;
D O I
10.1007/s12649-023-02342-x
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China MSW (Municipal solid waste) is being transformed from a strictly environmental problem to a renewable resource. Effective treatment of future MSW requires reliable forecasts of MSW generation, separation rates, incineration costs, and power generation, which are becoming more and more important. This study takes Beijing as the research object, establishes a combined model based on GRA(Grey relation analysis) and Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory, selects 10 influencing factors affecting municipal solid waste in Beijing as input indicators, realizes effective prediction of municipal solid waste generation, calculates electricity generation efficiency, cost and electricity generation according to different MSW source separation rate, and screens out the optimal MSW source separation rate. Firstly, GRA was used to select the influencing factors of MSW. Secondly, the screened indicators are used as input indicators for the model BILSTM (Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory) to forecast the amount of Beijing Municipal solid waste generation in 2035. The results show that the MAPE value of the established combined GRA-BILSTM model is 4.956, and the prediction performance of this model is better than the other eight models. Relevant suggestions should be made for the source separation rate of municipal solid waste in 2035.
引用
收藏
页码:3969 / 3986
页数:18
相关论文
共 42 条
  • [21] Assessment of electricity generation potential and economic analysis through different municipal solid waste management scenarios: a case study
    Sabeti, Zahra
    Nosratnejad, Shirin
    Mousavi, Maryam
    Mosaferi, Mohammad
    BIOMASS CONVERSION AND BIOREFINERY, 2022,
  • [22] An incentive-based source separation model for sustainable municipal solid waste management in China
    Xu, Wanying
    Zhou, Chuanbin
    Lan, Yajun
    Jin, Jiasheng
    Cao, Aixin
    WASTE MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH, 2015, 33 (05) : 469 - 476
  • [23] Effect of methane generation potential and rate constant on the generation of methane from municipal solid waste landfill site: A case study
    Garg, Shikha
    Bhargava, Akshey
    International Journal of Environment and Waste Management, 2013, 12 (04) : 397 - 405
  • [24] Energy recovery potential from incineration using municipal solid waste based on multi-scenario analysis in Beijing
    Gu, Wei
    Liu, Di
    Wang, Chen
    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2021, 28 (21) : 27119 - 27131
  • [25] Forecasting of municipal solid waste generation in China based on an optimized grey multiple regression model
    Guo, Rong
    Liu, Hong-Mei
    Sun, Hong-Hao
    Wang, Dong
    Yu, Hao
    Alves, Diana Do Rosario
    Yao, Lu
    JOURNAL OF MATERIAL CYCLES AND WASTE MANAGEMENT, 2022, 24 (06) : 2314 - 2327
  • [26] Forecasting of municipal solid waste generation in China based on an optimized grey multiple regression model
    Rong Guo
    Hong-Mei Liu
    Hong-Hao Sun
    Dong Wang
    Hao Yu
    Diana Do Rosario Alves
    Lu Yao
    Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management, 2022, 24 : 2314 - 2327
  • [27] Energy recovery potential from incineration using municipal solid waste based on multi-scenario analysis in Beijing
    Wei Gu
    Di Liu
    Chen Wang
    Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2021, 28 : 27119 - 27131
  • [28] The municipal solid waste generation distribution prediction system based on FIG-GA-SVR model
    Dai, Feng
    Nie, Gui-hua
    Chen, Yi
    JOURNAL OF MATERIAL CYCLES AND WASTE MANAGEMENT, 2020, 22 (05) : 1352 - 1369
  • [29] The municipal solid waste generation distribution prediction system based on FIG–GA-SVR model
    Feng Dai
    Gui-hua Nie
    Yi Chen
    Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management, 2020, 22 : 1352 - 1369
  • [30] Cloud based Forecast of Municipal Solid Waste Growth using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average Model: A Case Study for Bengaluru
    Rashmi, G.
    Kumar, K. S. Sathish
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED COMPUTER SCIENCE AND APPLICATIONS, 2022, 13 (09) : 909 - 913