Identification of molecular subtypes and diagnostic model in clear cell renal cell carcinoma based on collagen-related genes may predict the response of immunotherapy

Background: Collagen represents a prominent constituent of the tumor's extracellular matrix (ECM). Nonetheless, its correlation with the molecular subtype attributes of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) remains elusive. Our objective is to delineate collagen-associated molecular subtypes and further construct diagnostic model, offering insights conducive to the precise selection of ccRCC patients for immunotherapeutic interventions.Methods: We performed unsupervised non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) analysis on TCGA-KIRC samples, utilizing a set of 33 collagen-related differentially expressed genes (33CRDs) for clustering. Our analysis encompassed evaluations of subtype-associated differences in pathways, immune profiles, and somatic mutations. Through weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) and four machine learning algorithms, two core genes were found and a diagnostic model was constructed. This was subsequently validated in a clinical immunotherapy cohort. Single cell sequencing analysis and experiments demonstrated the role of core genes in ccRCC. Finally, we also analyzed the roles of MMP9 and SCGN in pan-cancer.Results: We described two novel collagen related molecular subtypes in ccRCC, designated subtype 1 and subtype 2. Compared with subtype 1, subtype 2 showed more infiltration of immune components, but had a higher TIDE (tumor immunedysfunctionandexclusion) score and increased levels of immune checkpoint molecules. Furthermore, reduced prognosis for subtype 2 was a consistent finding in both high and low mutation load subgroups. MMP9 and SCGN were identified as key genes for distinguishing subtype 1 and subtype 2. The diagnostic model based on them could better distinguish the subtype of patients, and the differentiated patients had different progression free survival (PFS) in the clinical immunotherapy cohort. MMP9 was predominantly expressed in macrophages and has been extensively documented in the literature. Meanwhile, SCGN, which was overexpressed in tumor cells, underwent experimental validation, emphasizing its role in ccRCC. In various cancers, MMP9 and SCGN were associated with immune-related molecules and immune cells.Conclusion: Our study identifies two collagen-related molecular subtypes of ccRCC and constructs a diagnostic model to help select appropriate patients for immunotherapy.