Cumulative burden and trajectories of body mass index and blood pressure from childhood and carotid intima-media thickness in young adulthood

There are significant gaps in understanding of the association between levels and rate of change of body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure (BP) at different ages during childhood and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) in adulthood. We investigated the association between trajectories of BMI and BP from childhood to adulthood and adult CIMT among Iranian participants in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) cohort. A total of 1334 participants (692 men), from the TLGS cohort (1999-2018) with repeated measurements of BMI and BP (2-6 times) from childhood (3-18 years) to young adulthood (20-40 years) were selected. Trajectory parameters included levels and linear slopes of BMI and BP growth curve models, and cumulative burden defined as the area under those curves (AUC). After adjusting for confounders, AUC of BMI and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were significantly associated with high CIMT in adulthood, with the standardized odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of 1.35 (1.12-1.62) and 1.27 (1.01-1.60), respectively. Associations between level-independent slopes of BMI and adult CIMT were significantly positive (ORs: 1.27 to 1.26) during childhood ages (3-18 years). Further, levels of BMI (ORs: 1.23 to 1.29) and DBP (ORs: 1.25 to 1.33) during the ages of 13-18 and 11-17 years, respectively, were significantly associated with CIMT in adulthood (all P < 0.05). The cumulative burden of BMI and DBP was associated with CIMT in adulthood. Adolescence is a crucial period for high CIMT, which has implications for early prevention of atherosclerosis.