Diurnal Characteristics of Heavy Precipitation Events under Different Synoptic Circulation Patterns in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in Summer

被引:0
作者
Qi, Haixia [1 ,2 ]
Lin, Chunze [1 ]
Peng, Tao [1 ,2 ]
Zhi, Xiefei [3 ]
Cui, Chunguang [1 ]
Chen, Wen [4 ]
Yin, Zhiyuan [1 ]
Shen, Tieyuan [1 ]
Xiang, Yiheng [1 ]
机构
[1] China Meteorol Adm, China Meteorol Adm Basin Heavy Rainfall Key Lab, Inst Heavy Rain, Hubei Key Lab Heavy Rain Monitoring & Warning Res, Wuhan 430205, Peoples R China
[2] Three Gorges Natl Climatol Observ, Yichang 415323, Peoples R China
[3] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteorol, Key Lab Meteorol Disasters, Minist Educ, Nanjing 211544, Peoples R China
[4] Univ Maryland, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
关键词
PCT; synoptic circulation patterns; Bayesian model averaging; heavy rainfall; EXTREME HOURLY PRECIPITATION; MEI-YU; EASTERN CHINA; WARM-SEASON; RAINFALL; MONSOON; CYCLE; TAIWAN; CLASSIFICATIONS; FREQUENCY;
D O I
10.3390/atmos14081320
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Aiming at the rainstorm days (=50 mm/d) in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River during 2010-2020, the obliquely rotated principal component in T-mode (PCT) method is used to classify the daily mean 850 hPa geopotential height, including Type 1 (vortex/shear line), Type 2 (frontal surface), Type 3 (warm shear line), Type 4 (warm inverse trough line), Type 5 (typhoon-westerly trough), and Type 6 (easterly wave). We studied the weather system configurations of different synoptic circulation patterns, their long-term trends, and their impacts on diurnal variations of heavy precipitation and drew the following conclusions: Type 1, Type 2, or Type 3 shows balanced double-peak frequencies of the start time of heavy precipitation during 06:00-08:00 BT and around 17:00 BT, respectively. For Type 1, dynamical lifting and thermal lifting play balanced roles, while for Type 2 and Type 3, dynamical lifting plays a key role. The number of rainstorm stations for Type 1 shows a slight increasing trend, while that for Type 2 or Type 3 shows a significant increasing trend. Type 4, Type 5, or Type 6 show a significant single peak frequency of the start time during 15:00-16:00. Type 5 and Type 6 are mainly affected by dynamical lifting along with favorable cape values, which can trigger rainstorms. The number of rainstorm stations for Type 4 or Type 6 shows a decreasing trend (that for Type 4 is more significant), while that for Type 5 shows a slightly increasing trend.
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