Risk-taking and tie-breaking

被引:0
作者
Doody, Ryan [1 ]
机构
[1] Brown Univ, Providence, RI 02912 USA
关键词
Decision theory; Risk; Rationality; Tie-breaking; EXPECTED UTILITY; RATIONAL CHOICE; DECISION-THEORY; INDEPENDENCE; PREFERENCE;
D O I
10.1007/s11098-023-01947-1
中图分类号
B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ;
摘要
When you are indifferent between two options, it's rationally permissible to take either. One way to decide between two such options is to flip a fair coin, taking one option if it lands heads and the other if it lands tails. Is it rationally permissible to employ such a tie-breaking procedure? Intuitively, yes. However, if you are genuinely risk-averse-in particular, if you adhere to risk-weighted expected utility theory (Buchak in Risk and rationality, Oxford University Press, 2013) and have a strictly convex risk-function-the answer will often be no: the REU of deciding by coin-flip will be lower than the REU of choosing one of the options outright (so long as at least one of the options is a nondegenerate gamble). This turns out to be a significant worry for risk-weighted expected utility theory. I argue that it adds real bite to established worries about diachronic consistency afflicting views, like risk-weighted expected utility theory, that violate Independence. And that, while these worries might be surmountable, surmounting them comes at a price.
引用
收藏
页码:2079 / 2104
页数:26
相关论文
共 50 条
[21]   Risk-Taking, Financial Distress and Innovation [J].
Sheth, Arnav ;
Shepp, Larry ;
Palmon, Oded .
WORLD CONGRESS ON ENGINEERING, WCE 2011, VOL I, 2011, :412-417
[22]   The Dark Factor of Personality and Risk-Taking [J].
Tiwari, Shambhavi ;
Moshagen, Morten ;
Hilbig, Benjamin E. ;
Zettler, Ingo .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, 2021, 18 (16)
[23]   Social Representations in Risk-Taking Adolescents [J].
Avdulova, T. P. ;
Motyleva, L. A. .
SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY AND SOCIETY, 2015, 6 (02) :105-116
[24]   From molecule to market: steroid hormones and financial risk-taking [J].
Coates, John M. ;
Gurnell, Mark ;
Sarnyai, Zoltan .
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 2010, 365 (1538) :331-343
[25]   Tie-breaking Can Maximize Fairness without Sacrificing Throughput in D2D-assisted Networks [J].
Mancuso, Vincenzo ;
Asadi, Arash ;
Jacko, Peter .
2016 IEEE 17TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON A WORLD OF WIRELESS, MOBILE AND MULTIMEDIA NETWORKS (WOWMOM), 2016,
[26]   Financial networks, bank efficiency and risk-taking [J].
Silva, Thiago Christiano ;
Guerra, Solange Maria ;
Tabak, Benjamin Miranda ;
de Castro Miranda, Rodrigo Cesar .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY, 2016, 25 :247-257
[27]   Corporate governance and risk-taking in New Zealand [J].
Koerniadi, Hardjo ;
Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar ;
Tourani-Rad, Alireza .
AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT, 2014, 39 (02) :227-245
[28]   Risky Business: Cosmopolitan Culture and Risk-Taking [J].
Sevincer, A. Timur ;
Kwon, Jung Yul ;
Varnum, Michael E. W. ;
Kitayama, Shinobu .
JOURNAL OF CROSS-CULTURAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2021, 52 (03) :295-315
[29]   On the reliability of the foreign language effect on risk-taking [J].
Hayakawa, Sayuri ;
Lau, Becky Ka Ying ;
Holtzmann, Sophie ;
Costa, Albert ;
Keysar, Boaz .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2019, 72 (01) :29-40
[30]   Reviewing reviews of professionals' risk-taking decisions [J].
Carson, David .
JOURNAL OF SOCIAL WELFARE AND FAMILY LAW, 2012, 34 (04) :395-409