Investigating heterogeneous preferences for plug-in electric vehicles: Policy implications from different choice models

被引:21
作者
Jia, Wenjian [1 ]
Chen, T. Donna [2 ]
机构
[1] Changan Univ, Coll Transportat Engn, Xian, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Virginia, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Charlottesville, VA 22906 USA
关键词
Plug-in Electric Vehicles; Stated Preference; Preference Heterogeneity; Mixed Logit; Latent Class; WILLINGNESS-TO-PAY; MIXED LOGIT MODEL; ALTERNATIVE FUEL VEHICLES; LATENT CLASS MODEL; CONSUMER PREFERENCES; STATED CHOICE; DRIVING RANGE; ADOPTION; DISCRETE; CARS;
D O I
10.1016/j.tra.2023.103693
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) adoption has been a promising strategy to address climate change and improve energy security. Understanding consumer preferences for PEV attributes and policies is critical to accelerate mass PEV penetration. This study examines consumer preference het-erogeneity in adopting PEVs with mixed logit (MXL), latent class (LC), and latent class-mixed logit (LC-MXL) models based on a stated preference survey in Virginia, U.S. Consistently, all three models indicate that providing a monetary incentive is most effective in increasing the overall PEV market share, followed by deploying more charging infrastructure, while improvement in battery range shows a weak impact. Furthermore, the choice models that capture preference heterogeneity provide more nuanced results on the effectiveness of policies on a specific con-sumer segment and for a specific vehicle powertrain type. Lastly, when considering various model evaluation measures (e.g., model fit, prediction accuracy, and behavioral interpretation), results show that no model is unanimously superior to the other models. Rather, altogether they uncover a more comprehensive picture of EV preference structure. Findings provide insights into the usefulness of each choice modeling framework for future PEV adoption research. Also, it informs policymakers to be aware of alternative models which can provide different perspectives on policy implications.
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页数:18
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