Survival and prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid: A retrospective cohort study

Background: Bullous pemphigoid is the most common subepidermal autoimmune blistering disease. Till now, the reported prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid vary considerably.Aims: The purpose of this study was to determine the overall survival rate and prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid.Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on newly diagnosed bullous pemphigoid patients between July 2001 and November 2019 in a referral unit for autoimmune blistering skin diseases in Romania.Results: One hundred forty-eight patients were included in the study. The Kaplan-Meier overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years were respectively 74.2% (95% confidence interval, 67.5-81.6%), 53.4% (45.7-62.2%), 43.6% (35.9-53%) and 31.3% (23.5-41.7%). The median follow-up among survivors was 48 months (interquartile range: 11-150). Ninety (60.8%) patients died during the follow-up period; of them, 38 (42.2%) had active disease at the time of death. Advanced age, neurological diseases, valvular heart disease, malignancies, use of statins, skin infections and extensive cutaneous involvement were linked to poorer outcomes, while the use of topical corticosteroids was associated with increased overall survival.Limitations: This study lacks a control cohort to validate the obtained results. It was conducted in a retrospective manner in a single centre. In addition, indirect immunofluorescence microscopy was not performed in all patients.Conclusion: Beyond ageing and neurological comorbidities, the prognosis of bullous pemphigoid patients was significantly influenced by the presence of skin infections, valvular heart disease, use of statins and extensive cutaneous involvement. Topical corticosteroid treatment was associated with increased survival in these patients.