Characteristics and risk factors of cervical lymph node metastasis in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma of the isthmus

The surgical resection range of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma of the isthmus (PTMCI) is controversial, and the guidelines do not fully guide the central lymph node dissection (CLND).We retrospectively studied the comparison of PTMCI (Group A, n = 65 cases) and non-PTMCI (Group B, n = 80 cases). Based on whether central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) was further detected, they were further divided into the PTMCI with CLNM (group C, n = 42 cases), the PTMCI without CLNM (group D, n = 23 cases), the non-PTMCI with CLNM (group E, n = 45 cases), the non-PTMCI without CLNM (group F, n = 35 cases). All patients underwent total thyroidectomy and CLND. The CLNM pathological examination was divided into right recurrent laryngeal nerve superficial lymph nodes (Right VI a), right recurrent laryngeal nerve deep lymph nodes (Right VI b), left VI area lymph nodes (Left VI), prelaryngeal lymph node, and pretracheal lymph node. The extent of lymph node metastasis and risk factors of PTMCI were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis. The ROC curve was used to calculate the maximum diameter of the tumor and the Youden index was calculated to analyze the impact of diameter on the risk factors for CLNM in PTMCI. To construct a prediction model of transfer risk of high risk factors by Nomogram, there were significant differences in prelaryngeal lymph nodes (p = 0.034) and pretracheal lymph nodes ( n = 0.035) between group A and group B, and the risk factors of lymph node metastasis were tumor invasion (p = 0.003), multifocality (p = 0.001), and the maximum tumor diameter >= 6.5 mm. PTMCI is more prone to metastasis of pretracheal lymph nodes and prelaryngeal lymph nodes, and the presence of tumor invasion, multifocality, and tumor diameter >= 6.5 mm are high risk factors for metastasis in PTMCI. According to the prediction model, with all risk factors the risk of cervical lymph node metastasis is up to 90%.