An early post-transplant relapse prediction score in multiple myeloma: a large cohort study from the chronic malignancies working party of EBMT

被引:5
作者
Beksac, Meral [1 ]
Iacobelli, Simona [2 ]
Koster, Linda [3 ]
Cornelissen, Jan [4 ]
Griskevicius, Laimonas [5 ]
Rabin, Neil K. [6 ]
Stoppa, Anne Marie [7 ]
Meijer, Ellen [8 ]
Mear, Jean-Baptiste [9 ]
Zeerleder, Sacha [10 ]
Mayer, Jiri [11 ]
Fenk, Roland [12 ]
Fegueux, Nathalie [13 ]
Chevallier, Patrice [14 ]
Konirova, Eva [15 ]
Snowden, John A. [16 ]
Engelhardt, Monika [17 ]
Orchard, Kim [18 ]
Hulin, Cyrille [19 ]
Schaap, Nicolaas [20 ]
Sossa, Claudia [21 ]
Elmaagacli, Ahmet [22 ]
McLornan, Donal P. [23 ]
Hayden, Patrick J. [24 ]
Schoenland, Stefan [25 ]
Yakoub-Agha, Ibrahim [26 ]
机构
[1] Ankara Univ, Ankara, Turkiye
[2] Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
[3] European Soc Blood & Marrow Transplantat Leiden St, Leiden, Netherlands
[4] Erasmus Univ Med Ctr Daniel Hoed, Rotterdam, Netherlands
[5] Vilnius Univ Hosp Santariskiu Clin, Vilnius, Lithuania
[6] Univ Coll London Hosp NHS Fdn Trust, London, England
[7] Inst Paoli Calmettes, Marseille, France
[8] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Med Ctr, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[9] Ctr Hosp Univ Rennes, Rennes, France
[10] Univ Hosp Bern, Bern, Switzerland
[11] Univ Hosp Brno, Brno, Czech Republic
[12] Univ Hosp Duesseldorf, Dusseldorf, Germany
[13] CHU Lapeyronie, Montpellier, France
[14] CHU Nantes, Nantes, France
[15] Charles Univ Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
[16] Sheffield Teaching Hosp NHS Trust, Sheffield, England
[17] Univ Med Ctr Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
[18] Univ Hosp Southampton NHS Fdn Trust, Southampton, England
[19] CHU Bordeaux, Pessac, France
[20] Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Nijmegen Med Ctr, Nijmegen, Netherlands
[21] Clin FOSCAL, Santander, Colombia
[22] Asklepios Klin St Georg, Hamburg, Germany
[23] Queens Univ Belfast, Marseille, France
[24] Trinity Coll Dublin, Sch Med, Dept Haematol, Dublin, Ireland
[25] Heidelberg Univ, Heidelberg, Germany
[26] Univ Lille, CHU Lille, Infin, Lille, France
关键词
AUTOLOGOUS TRANSPLANT; POOR SURVIVAL; DEXAMETHASONE; LENALIDOMIDE; BORTEZOMIB; THERAPY; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1038/s41409-023-01999-1
中图分类号
Q6 [生物物理学];
学科分类号
071011 ;
摘要
Early relapse (ER) following Autologous Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation (AHCT) confers a poor prognosis. We therefore developed a novel scoring system to predict ER. A total of 14,367 AHCT-1 patients were transplanted between 2014 and 2019, and were conditioned with Melphalan 200 mg/m(2) (Mel200) (n = 7228; 2014-2017) (training cohort); Mel200 (n = 5616; 2018-2019) or Mel140 (n = 1523; 2018-2019) (validation cohorts). PFS-12 and the Cumulative Incidence of Relapse at 12 months were 84.1% and 14.7% (training Mel200), 87.2% and 11.6% (validation Mel200), and 80.3% and 16.9% (validation Mel140), respectively. The points in the risk score were: 0, 1,2 for ISS stages I, II, and III; Disease status: 0 (CR/VGPR); 1 (PR); 2 (SD/MR); 4 (Relapse/Progression); and 1 for Karnofsky <= 70. The distribution of scores: 0 (24%), 1 (33.9%), 2 (29.6 %), 3 (9.5%), and >= 4 (2.7%). The score separated PFS-12, with the lowest risk group (n = 1752) having a PFS-12 of 91.7% and the highest risk group (n = 195) 57.1%. This also applied in cytogenetically high-risk patients. If the pre-score baseline risks are 15% (standard risk) and 25% (high-risk), a score of >= 4 confers calculated risks of 38% and 54%, respectively. This novel EBMT ER score, therefore, allows for the identification of five discrete prognostic groups.
引用
收藏
页码:916 / 923
页数:8
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