Other comprehensive income, its components, and analysts' forecasts

被引:13
作者
Anderson, Joshua [1 ]
Cao, Yiting [2 ]
Riedl, Edward J. [3 ]
Song, Scarlett Xiaotong [4 ]
机构
[1] Calif Polytech State Univ San Luis Obispo, San Luis Obispo, CA 93407 USA
[2] Calif State Univ Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90032 USA
[3] Boston Univ, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[4] Univ New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824 USA
关键词
Other comprehensive income; Analyst forecasts; Uncertainty; INFORMATION UNCERTAINTY; NET INCOME; FAIR-VALUE; EXPECTATIONS; PERFORMANCE; LOSSES; GAINS;
D O I
10.1007/s11142-021-09656-y
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper examines how analysts incorporate other comprehensive income (OCI) and its components into their earnings forecasts. We first document that analysts' 1-year-ahead earnings forecasts are associated with OCI and OCI components having predictive ability; this suggests analysts (at least partially) incorporate this information into their forecasting. We then show that analysts are neither complete nor timely in incorporating OCI information into their forecasts, as several OCI components remain associated with analysts' forecast errors. Further, we document that higher uncertainty in firm performance exacerbates analysts' underreaction, evidencing a friction to full incorporation of OCI-related information. Finally, as evidence of where and when analysts derive OCI-related information, we document that analysts' forecast revisions correlate with the release of firms' 10-Ks and early 10-Qs (i.e., quarters one and two but not three).
引用
收藏
页码:792 / 826
页数:35
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