Accurate and fast machine learning algorithm for systems outage prediction

Cyber-attacks (CAs) on electrical networks in presents of renewable energies, particularly solar energy, have become more complex and sophisticated over the past few years by making severe system outages. In light of increased automation in solar-based energy industries, a holistic cyber-physical infrastructure must be considered to predict the effect of CAs on electrical networks and the ways to enhance its resilience. The present study examines the resilience characteristics at the equipment area of the diverse control methods and their effect on the outage severity of the smart grid using digital twins (DT) simulation technology. The paper presents a machine learning based metric for measuring the resilience of cyber-physical features that considers device-level characteristics, vulnerabilities, and system models. Resiliency refers to a system's capability of providing energy even during severe contingencies and relates to the ability to resist, forecast, and recover. An example based on the newest CA against Ukraine has been provided and simulated on DT environment. A case study is proposed to illustrate how cyber-physical resilience metrics can be applied to improve operators' situational awareness and provide more proactive or corrective control measures for improving resilience.