ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability

被引:8
作者
King, Martin P. [1 ,2 ]
Keenlyside, Noel [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Li, Camille [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bergen, Geophys Inst, Jahnebakken 5, N-5007 Bergen, Norway
[2] Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway
[3] Nansen Environm & Remote Sensing Ctr, Bergen, Norway
[4] RAS, AM Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia
关键词
ENSO teleconnection; North Atlantic Oscillation; Subseasonal variability; NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; NORTH-ATLANTIC; EL-NINO; PRESSURE ANOMALIES; STRATOSPHERE; PREDICTABILITY; CLIMATE; PATHWAY; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1007/s00382-023-06697-8
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The validity of the long-held understanding or assumption that El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has a remote influence on the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in the January-February-March (JFM) months has been questioned recently. We examine this claim further using atmospheric data filtered to separate the variability orthogonal and parallel to NAO. This decomposition of the atmospheric fields is based on the Principal Component/Empirical Orthogonal Function method whereby the leading mode of the sea-level pressure in the North Atlantic sector is recognised as the NAO, while the remaining variability is orthogonal (unrelated) to NAO. Composite analyses indicate that ENSO has statistically significant links with both the non-NAO and NAO variability at various atmospheric levels. Additional bootstrap tests carried out to quantify the uncertainty and statistical significance confirm these relationships. Consistent with previous studies, we find that an ENSO teleconnection in the NAO-related variability is characterised by lower-stratospheric eddy heat flux anomalies (related to the vertical propagation of planetary waves) which appear in November-December and strengthen through JFM. Under El Nino (La Nina), there is constructive (destructive) interference of anomalous eddy heat flux with the climatological pattern, enhancing (reducing) fluxes over the northern Pacific and Barents Sea areas. We further show that the teleconnection of extreme El Nino is essentially a non-NAO phenomenon. Some non-linearity of the teleconnections is suggested, with El Nino including more NAO-related variability than La Nina, but the statistical significance is degraded due to weaker signals and smaller sample sizes after the partitioning. Our findings have implications for the general understanding of the nature of ENSO teleconnections over the North Atlantic, as well as for refining methods to characterise and evaluate them in models.
引用
收藏
页码:2717 / 2733
页数:17
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