Keeping Up With the Joneses? Neighbourhood Effects on the Vote

被引:3
作者
Harteveld, Eelco [1 ,2 ]
van der Brug, Wouter [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Dept Polit Sci, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Amsterdam, Dept Polit Sci, Nieuwe Achtergracht 166, NL-1018 WV Amsterdam, Netherlands
基金
荷兰研究理事会;
关键词
political behaviour; voting; neighbourhood effects; geo-coding; POLARIZATION; BEHAVIOR; SUPPORT;
D O I
10.1177/00323217231204849
中图分类号
D81 [国际关系];
学科分类号
030207 ;
摘要
Voters are affected by cues from their immediate social environment. One of these cues consists of the political opinions available and accepted in people's neighbourhoods, which are theoretically expected to affect vote choices through direct or indirect forms of communication. We test this assertion by employing a longitudinal design combining fine-grained geo-coded panel data with election results on a uniquely local level in the Netherlands. We assess the effect of the level of support for parties in a neighbourhood (consisting of just 624 households on average) on the vote choices of individuals 5 years later, while controlling for their previous vote choice. We find that the political preferences of neighbours indeed affect respondents' subsequent vote choice, but only for those voters who feel strongly embedded in the local community. We conclude that, even in the highly fragmented Dutch context, the political choices of citizens can be influenced by neighbourhood effects.
引用
收藏
页码:1555 / 1571
页数:17
相关论文
共 29 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1995, Citizens, Politics and Social Communication: Information and Influence in an Election Campaign
[2]  
Bishop B., 2009, The big Sort: Why the clustering of likeminded America is tearing us apart
[3]   Contextual effects on retrospective economic evaluations - The impact of the state and local economy [J].
Books, J ;
Prysby, C .
POLITICAL BEHAVIOR, 1999, 21 (01) :1-16
[4]  
Cox Kevin., 1969, PROGR GEOGRAPHY, V1, P81, DOI DOI 10.1191/030913298675222849
[5]   Pillars and electoral behavior in Belgium: The neighborhood effect revisited [J].
David, Quentin ;
Van Hamme, Gilles .
POLITICAL GEOGRAPHY, 2011, 30 (05) :250-262
[6]   COGNITIVE DISSONANCE [J].
FESTINGER, L .
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN, 1962, 207 (04) :93-&
[7]   Places and Preferences: A Longitudinal Analysis of Self-Selection and Contextual Effects [J].
Gallego, Aina ;
Buscha, Franz ;
Sturgis, Patrick ;
Oberski, Daniel .
BRITISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 2016, 46 (03) :529-550
[8]   Ticking all the boxes? A comparative study of social sorting and affective polarization [J].
Harteveld, Eelco .
ELECTORAL STUDIES, 2021, 72
[9]   Multiple roots of the populist radical right: Support for the Dutch PVV in cities and the countryside [J].
Harteveld, Eelco ;
Van der Brug, Wouter ;
De lange, Sarah ;
Van der Meer, Tom .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL RESEARCH, 2022, 61 (02) :440-461
[10]   Social Stigma and Support for the Populist Radical Right: An Experimental Study [J].
Harteveld, Eelco ;
Dahlberg, Stefan ;
Kokkonen, Andrej ;
van der Brug, Wouter .
SCANDINAVIAN POLITICAL STUDIES, 2019, 42 (3-4) :296-307