BIM-based solution to enhance the performance of public-private partnership construction projects using copula bayesian network

被引:31
作者
Ghorbany, Siavash [1 ]
Noorzai, Esmatullah [1 ]
Yousefi, Saied [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tehran, Sch Architecture, Dept Project & Construct Management, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Building information modeling (BIM); Copula bayesian network (CBN); Key performance indicators (KPIs); Public -private partnerships (PPPs); XGBoost machine learning; SHAP analysis; PPP; INDICATORS; RISK; QUESTIONNAIRE; MANAGEMENT; KNOWLEDGE; SELECTION; INDUSTRY; RANKING; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119501
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Public-private partnerships (PPPs) are efficient methods for constructing infrastructures that create many opportunities, specifically in financial crises. However, the cost/time overruns have raised many problems in these projects that show their feeble performance. That said, optimizing the key performance indicators (KPIs) have been neglected as a crucial part of performance enhancement. Therefore, analyzing and proposing a Building Information Modeling (BIM) based model to improve KPIs condition have been chosen as the main objective of this research. In this research, the Copula Bayesian Network (CBN) has been selected as a robust statistical technique to determine causal structure ability and estimate the variables' impact on each other. Unlike similar research, this study has used Python programming, Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) to comprehensively analyze CBN and provide quantitative analysis to assess the BIM impact on PPPs. This research has estimated the influence of BIM on PPPs' performance and extracted the most prominent KPIs in BIM enabling conditions, including the feasibility study, finance/cost performance, appropriate financing option, risk identification, allocation, sharing, and transfer, finance infrastructure, and compliance to the legal and regulatory framework. This study proved that BIM could improve PPPs performance by 28.9% on average. The outcome of this research helps the private sector to gain a comprehensive perspective on implementing BIM and its effects on PPP projects and gives an insight into BIM's importance and efficiency in solving critical PPP issues for future researchers.
引用
收藏
页数:18
相关论文
共 126 条
[11]   Modeling Risk-Related Knowledge in Tunneling Projects [J].
Cardenas, Ibsen Chivata ;
Al-Jibouri, Saad S. H. ;
Halman, Johannes I. M. ;
van Tol, Frits A. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2014, 34 (02) :323-339
[12]   Predicting effects of built environment on fatal pedestrian accidents at location-specific level: Application of XGBoost and SHAP [J].
Chang, Iljoon ;
Park, Hoontae ;
Hong, Eungi ;
Lee, Jaeduk ;
Kwon, Namju .
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION, 2022, 166
[13]   A BIM-based construction quality management model and its applications [J].
Chen, LiJuan ;
Luo, Hanbin .
AUTOMATION IN CONSTRUCTION, 2014, 46 :64-73
[14]   A data-driven feature learning approach based on Copula-Bayesian Network and its application in comparative investigation on risky lane-changing and car-following maneuvers [J].
Chen, Tianyi ;
Wong, Yiik Diew ;
Shi, Xiupeng ;
Yang, Yaoyao .
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION, 2021, 154
[15]   From complex questionnaire and interviewing data to intelligent Bayesian network models for medical decision support [J].
Constantinou, Anthony Costa ;
Fenton, Norman ;
Marsh, William ;
Radlinski, Lukasz .
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN MEDICINE, 2016, 67 :75-93
[16]  
Cooke R. M., 2000, GRAPHICAL METHODS UN, P245
[17]   Local probabilistic sensitivity measures for comparing FORM and Monte Carlo calculations illustrated with dike ring reliability calculations [J].
Cooke, RM ;
van Noortwijk, JM .
COMPUTER PHYSICS COMMUNICATIONS, 1999, 117 (1-2) :86-98
[18]   Review of studies on the public private partnerships (PPP) for infrastructure projects [J].
Cui, Caiyun ;
Liu, Yong ;
Hope, Alex ;
Wang, Jianping .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT, 2018, 36 (05) :773-794
[19]   Correlation reliability assessment of artillery chassis transmission system based on CBN model [J].
Ding, Feng ;
Wang, Yihua ;
Ma, Guoliang ;
Zhang, Xinrui .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2021, 215 (215)
[20]  
Eadie Robert, 2013, International Journal of Procurement Management, V6, P152