Regional and tele-connected impacts of the Tibetan Plateau surface darkening

被引:46
作者
Tang, Shuchang [1 ]
Vlug, Anouk [2 ,3 ]
Piao, Shilong [1 ,4 ]
Li, Fei [4 ]
Wang, Tao [4 ]
Krinner, Gerhard [5 ]
Li, Laurent Z. X. [6 ]
Wang, Xuhui [1 ]
Wu, Guangjian [4 ]
Li, Yue [1 ]
Zhang, Yuan [6 ,7 ,8 ]
Lian, Xu [1 ,9 ]
Yao, Tandong [4 ]
机构
[1] Peking Univ, Sino French Inst Earth Syst Sci, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Innsbruck, Dept Atmospher & Cryospher Sci, Innsbruck, Austria
[3] Univ Bremen, Inst Geog, Bremen, Germany
[4] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, State Key Lab Tibetan Plateau Earth Syst Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
[5] Univ Grenoble Alpes, Inst Geosci Environm, CNRS, Grenoble, France
[6] Sorbonne Univ, Ecole Normale Super, Ecole Polytech, Lab Meteorol Dynam, Paris, France
[7] Univ Paris Saclay, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, IPSL, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Gif Sur Yvette, France
[8] Sorbonne Univ, Inst Pierre Simon Laplace, CNRS, Paris, France
[9] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Engn, New York, NY USA
基金
奥地利科学基金会; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON; ICE-THICKNESS DISTRIBUTION; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; MASS-BALANCE; SOUTH-ASIA; MODEL; GLACIERS; ALBEDO; BIMODALITY;
D O I
10.1038/s41467-022-35672-w
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Despite knowledge of the presence of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in reorganizing large-scale atmospheric circulation, it remains unclear how surface albedo darkening over TP will impact local glaciers and remote Asian monsoon systems. Here, we use a coupled land-atmosphere global climate model and a glacier model to address these questions. Under a high-emission scenario, TP surface albedo darkening will increase local temperature by 0.24 K by the end of this century. This warming will strengthen the elevated heat pump of TP, increasing South Asian monsoon precipitation while exacerbating the current "South Flood-North Drought" pattern over East Asia. The albedo darkening-induced climate change also leads to an accompanying TP glacier volume loss of 6.9%, which further increases to 25.2% at the equilibrium, with a notable loss in western TP. Our findings emphasize the importance of land-surface change responses in projecting future water resource availability, with important implications for water management policies. Impacts of Tibetan Plateau darkening remain unclear. Here authors show that darkening under the RCP8.5 scenario will increase South Asian monsoon precipitation and the "South Flood-North Drought" pattern over East Asia, while lead to local glacier loss.
引用
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页数:10
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