Temporal analysis of mortality from preventable causes in the first 24 hours of life, 2000-2021

被引：0

作者：

Silva, Aline Beatriz dos Santos ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Costa, Luciana Scarlazzari ^{[4
]}

de Frias, Paulo Germano ^{[5
]}

Araujo, Ana Catarina de Melo ^{[6
]}

do Bonfim, Cristine Vieira ^{[1
,7
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Fed Pernambuco, Recife, PE, Brazil

[2] Inst Aggeu Magalhaes Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil

[3] Coordenacao Aperfeicoamento Pessoal Nivel Super CA, Curitiba, Brazil

[4] Univ Estadual Campinas, Campus Limeira, Limeira, SP, Brazil

[5] Inst Med Integral Prof Fernando Figueira, Recife, PE, Brazil

[6] Secretaria Estadual Saude Pernambuco, Superintendencia Imunizacoes & Doencas Imunopreven, Recife, PE, Brazil

[7] Fundacao Joaquim Nabuco, Diretoria Pesquisas Sociais, Recife, PE, Brazil

来源：

REVISTA LATINO-AMERICANA DE ENFERMAGEM | 2023年 / 31卷

关键词：

TIME-SERIES; NEONATAL-MORTALITY; INFANT-MORTALITY; TRENDS;

D O I：

10.1590/1518-8345.6696.4080

中图分类号：

R47 [护理学];

学科分类号：

1011 ;

摘要：

Objective: to analyze the temporal pattern and estimate mortality rates in the first 24 hours of life and from preventable causes in the state of Pernambuco from 2000 to 2021. Method: an ecological study, using the quarter as the unit of analysis. The data source was made up of the Mortality Information System and the Live Birth Information System. The time series modeling was conducted according to the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. Results: 14,462 deaths were recorded in the first 24 hours of life, 11,110 (76.8%) of which being preventable. It is observed from the forecasts that the mortality rate in the first 24 hours of life ranged from 3.3 to 2.4 per 1,000 live births, and the mortality rate from preventable causes ranged from 2.3 to 1.8 per 1,000 live births. Conclusion: the prediction suggested progress in reducing mortality in the first 24 hours of life in the state and from preventable causes. The ARIMA models presented satisfactory estimates for mortality rates and preventable causes in the first 24 hours of life.

引用

页数：13

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