Synergetic PM2.5 and O3 control strategy for the Yangtze River Delta, China

被引:39
作者
Dong, Zhaoxin [1 ,2 ]
Xing, Jia [1 ,2 ]
Zhang, Fenfen [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Shuxiao [1 ,2 ]
Ding, Dian [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Hongli [3 ]
Huang, Cheng [3 ]
Zheng, Haotian [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Yueqi [1 ,2 ]
Hao, Jiming [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[2] State Environm Protect Key Lab Sources & Control, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[3] Shanghai Acad Environm Sci, State Environm Protect Key Lab Format & Prevent U, Shanghai 200233, Peoples R China
来源
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES | 2023年 / 123卷
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
PM2.5; O-3; Response surface model; Synergistic control pathway; Cost-benefit analysis; TIANJIN-HEBEI REGION; CMAQ MODELING SYSTEM; AIR-QUALITY; NONLINEAR RESPONSE; DISEASE MORTALITY; FINE PARTICLES; NOX CONTROL; OZONE; POLLUTION; EMISSIONS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jes.2022.04.008
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
PM2.5 concentrations have dramatically reduced in key regions of China during the period 2013-2017, while O-3 has increased. Hence there is an urgent demand to develop a synergetic regional PM2.5 and O-3 control strategy. This study develops an emission-to-concentration response surface model and proposes a synergetic pathway for PM2.5 and O-3 control in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) based on the framework of the Air Benefit and Cost and Attainment Assessment System (ABaCAS). Results suggest that the regional emissions of NOx, SO2, NH3, VOCs (volatile organic compounds) and primary PM2.5 should be reduced by 18%, 23%, 14%, 17% and 33% compared with 2017 to achieve 25% and 5% decreases of PM2.5 and O-3 in 2025, and that the emission reduction ratios will need to be 50%, 26%, 28%, 28% and 55% to attain the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. To effectively reduce the O-3 pollution in the central and eastern YRD, VOCs controls need to be strengthened to reduce O-3 by 5%, and then NOx reduction should be accelerated for air quality attainment. Meanwhile, con-trol of primary PM2.5 emissions shall be prioritized to address the severe PM2.5 pollution in the northern YRD. For most cities in the YRD, the VOCs emission reduction ratio should be higher than that for NO x in Spring and Autumn. NOx control should be increased in sum-mer rather than winter when a strong VOC-limited regime occurs. Besides, regarding the emission control of industrial processes, on-road vehicle and residential sources shall be prioritized and the joint control area should be enlarged to include Shandong, Jiangxi and Hubei Province for effective O-3 control. (c) 2022 The Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:281 / 291
页数:11
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