Final size and partial distance estimate for a two-group SEIRD model

被引：2

作者：

Melo, Alison M. V. D. L. ^{[1
]}

Santos, Matheus C. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Fed Vale Sao Francisco UNIVASF, BR-56304917 Petrolina, Brazil

[2] Univ Fed Rio Grande do Sul UFRGS, Dept Matemat Pura & Aplicada IME, BR-91509900 Porto Alegre, Brazil

来源：

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY | 2023年 / 86卷 / 04期

关键词：

Epidemic mathematical model; Latency period; Final size; Distance of solutions; COVID-19; EPIDEMIC; NUMBER; WUHAN; CHINA;

D O I：

10.1007/s00285-023-01892-x

中图分类号：

Q [生物科学];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

In this paper we consider a SEIRD epidemic model for a population composed by two groups of individuals with asymmetric interaction. Given an approximate solution for the two-group model, we estimate the error of this approximation to the unknown solution to the second group based on the known error that the approximation has with respect to the solution to the first group. We also study the final size of the epidemic for each group. We illustrate our results with the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in the New York County (USA) for the initial stage of the contamination, and in the cities of Petrolina and Juazeiro (Brazil).

引用

页数：32

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