Deep learning time pattern attention mechanism-based short-term load forecasting method

被引:4
作者
Liao, Wei [1 ]
Ruan, Jiaqi [2 ,3 ]
Xie, Yinghua [1 ]
Wang, Qingwei [1 ]
Li, Jing [1 ]
Wang, Ruoyu [1 ]
Zhao, Junhua [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Shenzhen Power Supply Co, Ltd, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Sch Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
[3] Robot Soc, Shenzhen Inst Artificial Intelligence, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
load forecasting; deep learning; time pattern attention; smart grid; data driven; ENERGY; PREDICTION; MODELS; DEMAND;
D O I
10.3389/fenrg.2023.1227979
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Accurate load forecasting is crucial to improve the stability and cost-efficiency of smart grid operations. However, how to integrate multiple significant factors for enhancing load forecasting performance is insufficiently investigated in previous studies. To fill the gap, this study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning model for short-term load forecasting. First, the long short-term memory network is utilized to capture patterns from historical load data. Second, a time pattern attention (TPA) mechanism is incorporated to improve feature extraction and learning capabilities. By discerning valuable features and eliminating irrelevant ones, the TPA mechanism enhances the learning process. Third, fully-connected layers are employed to integrate external factors such as climatic conditions, economic indicators, and temporal aspects. This comprehensive approach facilitates a deeper understanding of the impact of these factors on load profiles, leading to the development of a highly accurate load forecasting model. Rigorous experimental evaluations demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed approach in comparison to existing state-of-the-art load forecasting methodologies.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 27 条
[1]   Distributed energy resources and benefits to the environment [J].
Akorede, Mudathir Funsho ;
Hizam, Hashim ;
Pouresmaeil, Edris .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2010, 14 (02) :724-734
[2]   Data driven prediction models of energy use of appliances in a low-energy house [J].
Candanedo, Luis M. ;
Feldheim, Veronique ;
Deramaix, Dominique .
ENERGY AND BUILDINGS, 2017, 140 :81-97
[3]   Short-term electricity load forecasting of buildings in microgrids [J].
Chitsaz, Hamed ;
Shaker, Hamid ;
Zareipour, Hamidreza ;
Wood, David ;
Amjady, Nima .
ENERGY AND BUILDINGS, 2015, 99 :50-60
[4]   Multitask Bayesian Spatiotemporal Gaussian Processes for Short-Term Load Forecasting [J].
Gilanifar, Mostafa ;
Wang, Hui ;
Sriram, Lalitha Madhavi Konila ;
Ozguven, Eren Erman ;
Arghandeh, Reza .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS, 2020, 67 (06) :5132-5143
[5]   Comparison and Analysis of GPS Measured Electric Vehicle Charging Demand: The Case of Western Sweden and Seattle [J].
Hartvigsson, Elias ;
Jakobsson, Niklas ;
Taljegard, Maria ;
Odenberger, Mikael .
FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH, 2021, 9
[6]  
Hochreiter S, 1997, NEURAL COMPUT, V9, P1735, DOI [10.1162/neco.1997.9.1.1, 10.1007/978-3-642-24797-2]
[7]   Application of Big Data and Machine Learning in Smart Grid, and Associated Security Concerns: A Review [J].
Hossain, Eklas ;
Khan, Imtiaj ;
Un-Noor, Fuad ;
Sikander, Sarder Shazali ;
Sunny, Md Samiul Haque .
IEEE ACCESS, 2019, 7 :13960-13988
[8]   Coordinated preparation and recovery of a post-disaster Multi-energy distribution system considering thermal inertia and diverse uncertainties [J].
Li, Zhengmao ;
Xu, Yan ;
Wang, Peng ;
Xiao, Gaoxi .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2023, 336
[9]   Distributed tri-layer risk-averse stochastic game approach for energy trading among multi-energy microgrids [J].
Li, Zhengmao ;
Wu, Lei ;
Xu, Yan ;
Wang, Luhao ;
Yang, Nan .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2023, 331
[10]   Stochastic-Weighted Robust Optimization Based Bilayer Operation of a Multi-Energy Building Microgrid Considering Practical Thermal Loads and Battery Degradation [J].
Li, Zhengmao ;
Wu, Lei ;
Xu, Yan ;
Zheng, Xiaodong .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 2022, 13 (02) :668-682