Satellite-estimated air-sea CO2 fluxes in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and East China Sea: Patterns and variations during 2003-2019

The Bohai Sea (BS), Yellow Sea (YS), and East China Sea (ECS) together form one of the largest marginal sea systems in the world, including enclosed and semi-enclosed ocean margins and a wide continental shelf influ-enced by the Changjiang River and the strong western boundary current (Kuroshio). Based on in situ seawater pCO2 data collected on 51 cruises/legs over the past two decades, a satellite retrieval algorithm for seawater pCO2 was developed by combining the semi-mechanistic algorithm and machine learning method (MeSAA-ML-ECS). MeSAA-ML-ECS introduced semi-analytical parameters, including the temperature-dependent seawater pCO2 (pCO2,therm) and upwelling index (UISST), to characterise the combined effect of atmospheric CO2 forcing, thermodynamic effects, and multiple mixing processes on seawater pCO2. The best-selected machine learning algorithm is XGBoost. The satellite-derived pCO2 achieved excellent performance in this complicated marginal sea, with low root mean square error (RMSE = 20 mu atm) and mean absolute percentage deviation (APD = 4.12 %) for independent in situ validation dataset. During 2003-2019, the annual average CO2 sinks in the BS, YS, ECS, and entire study area were 0.16 +/- 0.26, 3.85 +/- 0.68, 14.80 +/- 3.09, and 18.81 +/- 3.81 Tg C/yr, respectively. Under continuously increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration, the BS changed from a weak source to a weak sink, the YS experienced interannual fluctuations but did not show significant trend, while the ECS acted as a strong sink with CO2 absorption increased from-10 Tg C in 2003 to-19 Tg C in 2019. In total, CO2 uptake in the entire study area increased by 85 % in 17 years. For the first time, we present the most refined variation in the satellite-derived pCO2 and air-sea CO2 flux dataset. These complete ocean carbon sink statistics and new insights will benefit further research on carbon fixation and its potential capacity.