Urban-rural difference in the lagged effects of PM2.5 and PM10 on COPD mortality in Chongqing, China

被引:11
作者
Gou, Aiping [1 ]
Tan, Guanzheng [1 ]
Ding, Xianbin [2 ]
Wang, Jiangbo [3 ]
Lv, Xiaoyan [2 ]
Gou, Chunyan [4 ]
Tan, Qiang [2 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Inst Technol, Coll Ecol Technol & Engn, Shanghai 201418, Peoples R China
[2] Chongqing Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Inst Chron & Noncommunicable Dis Control & Prevent, Chongqing 400042, Peoples R China
[3] Nanjing Tech Univ, Coll Architecture, Nanjing 211816, Peoples R China
[4] Chongqing Tradit Chinese Med Hosp, Dept Acupuncture, Chongqing 400021, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
DLNMs; COPD; Urban-rural differences; PM2.5; PM10; Lagged effects; OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY-DISEASE; SHORT-TERM EXPOSURE; AIR-POLLUTION; DISTRIBUTED LAG; GLOBAL BURDEN; TEMPERATURE; PREVALENCE; PARTICLES; CITIES; MODELS;
D O I
10.1186/s12889-023-16113-9
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Background It is true that Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) will increase social burden, especially in developing countries. Urban-rural differences in the lagged effects of PM2.5 and PM10 on COPD mortality remain unclear, in Chongqing, China. Methods In this study, a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNMs) was established to describe the urban-rural differences in the lagged effects of PM2.5, PM10 and COPD mortality in Chongqing, using 312,917 deaths between 2015 and 2020. Results According to the DLNMs results, COPD mortality in Chongqing increases with increasing PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations, and the relative risk (RR) of the overall 7-day cumulative effect is higher in rural areas than in urban areas. High values of RR in urban areas occurred at the beginning of exposure (Lag 0 similar to Lag 1). High values of RR in rural areas occur mainly during Lag 1 to Lag 2 and Lag 6 to Lag 7. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 is associated with an increased risk of COPD mortality in Chongqing, China. COPD mortality in urban areas has a high risk of increase in the initial phase of PM2.5 and PM10 exposure. There is a stronger lagging effect at high concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 exposure in rural areas, which may further exacerbate inequalities in levels of health and urbanization.
引用
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页数:12
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