Radiomics for predicting survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Radiomics has recently received considerable research attention for providing potential prognostic biomarkers for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). We aimed to comprehensively evaluate the methodological quality and prognostic prediction value of radiomic studies for predicting survival outcomes in patients with LARC. Methods: The Cochrane, Embase, Medline, and Web of Science databases were searched. The radiomics quality score (RQS), Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) checklist, the Image Biomarkers Standardization Initiative (IBSI) guideline, and the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool were used to assess the quality of the selected studies. A further meta-analysis of hazard ratio (HR) regarding disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was performed. Results: Among the 358 studies reported, 15 studies were selected for our review. The mean RQS score was 7.73 +/- 4.61 (21.5% of the ideal score of 36). The overall TRIPOD adherence rate was 64.4% (251/390). Most of the included studies (60%) were assessed as having a high risk of bias (ROB) overall. The pooled estimates of the HRs were 3.14 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.12-4.64, P<0.01] for DFS and 3.36 (95% CI: 1.74-6.49, P<0.01) for OS. Conclusions: Radiomics has potential to noninvasively predict outcome in patients with LARC. However, the overall methodological quality of radiomics studies was low, and the adherence to the TRIPOD statement was moderate. Future radiomics research should put a greater focus on enhancing the methodological quality and considering the influence of higher-order features on reproducibility in radiomics.