Prognostic value of genetic alterations and 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging features in diffuse large B cell lymphoma

The current standard front-line therapy for patients with diffuse large-B cell lymphoma (DLBCL)-rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP)-is found to be ineffective in up to one-third of them. Thus, their early identification is an important step towards testing alternative treatment options. In this retrospective study, we assessed the ability of 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging features (radiomic + PET conventional parameters) plus clinical data, alone or in combination with genomic parameters to predict complete response to first-line treatment. Imaging features were extracted from images prior treatment. Lesions were segmented as a whole to reflect tumor burden. Multivariate logistic regression predictive models for response to first-line treatment trained with clinical and imaging features, or with clinical, imaging, and genomic features were developed. For imaging feature selection, a manual selection approach or a linear discriminant analysis (LDA) for dimensionality reduction were applied. Confusion matrices and performance metrics were obtained to assess model performance. Thirty-three patients (median [range] age, 58 [49-69] years) were included, of whom 23 (69.69%) achieved long-term complete response. Overall, the inclusion of genomic features improved prediction ability. The best perfor-mance metrics were obtained with the combined model including genomic data and built applying the LDA method (AUC of 0.904, and 90% of balanced accuracy). The amplification of BCL6 was found to significantly contribute to explain response to first-line treatment in both manual and LDA models. Among imaging features, radiomic features reflecting lesion distribution heterogeneity (GLSZM_GrayLevelVariance, Sphericity and GLCM_Correlation) were pre-dictors of response in manual models. Interestingly, when the dimensionality reduction was applied, the whole set of imaging features-mostly composed of radiomic features-significantly contributed to explain response to front-line therapy. A nomogram predictive for response to first-line treatment was constructed. In summary, a combination of imaging features, clinical variables and genomic data was able to successfully predict complete response to first -line treatment in DLBCL patients, with the amplification of BCL6 as the genetic marker retaining the highest predic-tive value. Additionally, a panel of imaging features may provide important information when predicting treatment response, with lesion dissemination-related radiomic features deserving especial attention.