Acetabular dysplasia and the risk of developing hip osteoarthritis at 2,5,8, and 10 years follow-up in a prospective nationwide cohort study (CHECK)

Objective: To assess the relationship between acetabular dysplasia (AD) and the risk of incident and end-stage radiographic hip osteoarthritis (RHOA) over 2,5,8 and 10 years. Design: Individuals (n = 1002) aged between 45 and 65 from the prospective Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) were studied. Anteroposterior pelvic radiographs were obtained at baseline and 2,5,8, and 10-years follow-up. False profile radiographs were obtained at baseline. AD was defined as a lateral center edge angle, an anterior center edge angle, or both <25 degrees at baseline. The risk of developing RHOA was determined at each follow-up moment. Incident RHOA was defined by Kellgren & Lawrence (KL) grade >= 2 or total hip replacement (THR), end-stage RHOA by a KL grade >= 3 or THR. Associations were expressed in odds ratios (OR) using logistic regression with generalized estimating equations. Results: AD was associated with the development of incident RHOA at 2 years follow-up (OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.00-6.04), 5 years follow-up (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.20-4.31), and 8 years follow-up (OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.22-2.83). AD was only associated with end-stage RHOA at 5 years follow-up (OR 3.75, 95% CI 1.02-13.77). No statistically significant associations were observed between AD and RHOA at 10-years follow-up. Conclusion: Baseline AD in individuals between 45 and 65 years is associated with an increased risk of developing RHOA within 2-and 5 years. However, this association seems to weaken after 8 years and disappears after 10 years.