Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on Bayesian Regularized BP Neural Networks

被引:0
|
作者
Liu, Jiakang [1 ]
Wang, Haiyan [1 ]
Hao, Tianfei [1 ]
机构
[1] Xian Univ Technol, Sch Elect Engn, Xian, Peoples R China
来源
2023 6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING AND GREEN ENERGY, CEEGE | 2023年
关键词
photovoltaic power prediction; BP neural network; L-M optimization algorithm; Bayesian regularization algorithm; MODEL;
D O I
10.1109/CEEGE58447.2023.10246667
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In view of the problem that the randomness and volatility of photovoltaic power generation lead to low prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a short-term prediction method for photovoltaic power generation power based on Bayesian regularization algorithm to optimize BP neural network, and analyzes the factors affecting photovoltaic power generation power prediction model for photovoltaic power generation was established, which was trained in neural networks by Bayesian regularization algorithm optimization, L-M optimization algorithm and traditional gradient drop method, and the prediction results of the three methods were compared with the study, and the experimental results showed that the method proposed in this paper was effective Improved photovoltaic power prediction accuracy, which can be used for short-term accurate prediction of photovoltaic power.
引用
收藏
页码:224 / 229
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on CEEMDAN and Hybrid Neural Networks
    Wu, Songmei
    Guo, Hui
    Zhang, Xiaokang
    Wang, Fei
    IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS, 2024, 14 (06): : 960 - 969
  • [2] Short-term photovoltaic output power prediction based on similar day and optimized BP neural network
    Ye, Gaoxiang
    Yang, Jie
    Xia, Fangzhou
    Shao, Feifan
    Xu, Jingyou
    Yang, Zili
    Peng, Wenyan
    Zheng, Zijian
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF LOW-CARBON TECHNOLOGIES, 2024, 19 : 766 - 772
  • [3] Short-term prediction of photovoltaic power based on GWO-EEMD-BP
    Wen S.
    Ma Y.
    Sun Z.
    Zhongnan Daxue Xuebao (Ziran Kexue Ban)/Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology), 2022, 53 (12): : 4799 - 4808
  • [4] Short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation based on a PFA-MBAS-BP neural network model
    Zuo Y.
    Huang Y.
    Yang X.
    Wu H.
    Liu H.
    Dianli Xitong Baohu yu Kongzhi/Power System Protection and Control, 2020, 48 (15): : 84 - 91
  • [5] Research on Short-term Module Temperature Prediction Model Based on BP Neural Network for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting
    Sun, Yujing
    Wang, Fei
    Zhen, Zhao
    Mi, Zengqiang
    Liu, Chun
    Wang, Ba
    Lu, Jing
    2015 IEEE POWER & ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING, 2015,
  • [6] Short-Term Power Generation Forecasting of a Photovoltaic Plant Based on PSO-BP and GA-BP Neural Networks
    Li, Yuanqi
    Zhou, Lei
    Gao, Peiqi
    Yang, Bo
    Han, Yiming
    Lian, Chang
    FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH, 2022, 9 (09):
  • [7] Short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation based on neural network prediction model
    Chai, Mu
    Liu, Zhenan
    He, Kuanfang
    Jiang, Mian
    ENERGY SCIENCE & ENGINEERING, 2023, 11 (01) : 97 - 111
  • [8] A Bayesian Regularized Neural Network Approach to Short-Term Traffic Speed Prediction
    Qiu, Chenye
    Wang, Chunlu
    Zuo, Xingquan
    Fang, Binxing
    2011 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN, AND CYBERNETICS (SMC), 2011, : 2215 - 2220
  • [9] Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Combinatorial Neural Networks
    Kari, Tusongjiang
    Guoliang, Sun
    Kesong, Lei
    Xiaojing, Ma
    Xian, Wu
    INTELLIGENT AUTOMATION AND SOFT COMPUTING, 2023, 37 (02): : 1437 - 1452
  • [10] Research on the Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction Method Based on BP Neural Networks
    Liu, Zhongbo
    Yang, Zhaosheng
    Gao, Peng
    2012 WORLD AUTOMATION CONGRESS (WAC), 2012,