The pseudo-global-warming (PGW) approach: methodology, software package PGW4ERA5 v1.1, validation, and sensitivity analyses

被引:51
作者
Brogli, Roman [1 ,2 ]
Heim, Christoph [1 ]
Mensch, Jonas [1 ]
Sorland, Silje Lund [1 ,3 ]
Schar, Christoph [1 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Univ str 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] SRF Meteo, CH-8052 Zurich, Switzerland
[3] NORCE, Jahnebakken 5, N-5007 Bergen, Norway
关键词
SURROGATE CLIMATE-CHANGE; WARMER CLIMATE; LAPSE-RATE; FUTURE; CONVECTION; PRECIPITATION; PROJECTIONS; REPRESENTATION; SIMULATIONS; TEMPERATURE;
D O I
10.5194/gmd-16-907-2023
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The term "pseudo-global warming " (PGW) refers to a simulation strategy in regional climate modeling. The strategy consists of directly imposing large-scale changes in the climate system on a control regional climate simulation (usually representing current conditions) by modifying the boundary conditions. This differs from the traditional dynamic downscaling technique where output from a global climate model (GCM) is used to drive regional climate models (RCMs). The PGW climate changes are usually derived from a transient global climate model (GCM) simulation. The PGW approach offers several benefits, such as lowering computational requirements, flexibility in the simulation design, and avoiding biases from global climate models. However, implementing a PGW simulation is non-trivial, and care must be taken not to deteriorate the physics of the regional climate model when modifying the boundary conditions. To simplify the preparation of PGW simulations, we present a detailed description of the methodology and provide the companion software PGW4ERA5 facilitating the preparation of PGW simulations. In describing the methodology, particular attention is devoted to the adjustment of the pressure and geopotential fields. Such an adjustment is required when ensuring consistency between thermodynamical (temperature and humidity) changes on the one hand and dynamical changes on the other hand. It is demonstrated that this adjustment is important in the extratropics and highly essential in tropical and subtropical regions. We show that climate projections of PGW simulations prepared using the presented methodology are closely comparable to traditional dynamic downscaling for most climatological variables.
引用
收藏
页码:907 / 926
页数:20
相关论文
共 80 条
[1]   Methodology of the Constraint Condition in Dynamical Downscaling for Regional Climate Evaluation: A Review [J].
Adachi, S. A. ;
Tomita, H. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (11)
[2]   Comparison of the Impact of Global Climate Changes and Urbanization on Summertime Future Climate in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area [J].
Adachi, Sachiho A. ;
Kimura, Fuji ;
Kusaka, Hiroyuki ;
Inoue, Tomoshige ;
Ueda, Hiroaki .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY, 2012, 51 (08) :1441-1454
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2017, Journal of Open Research Software, DOI [10.5334/jors.148, DOI 10.5334/JORS.148]
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2009, Technical Report
[5]   Operational Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction with the COSMO Model: Description and Sensitivities [J].
Baldauf, Michael ;
Seifert, Axel ;
Foerstner, Jochen ;
Majewski, Detlev ;
Raschendorfer, Matthias ;
Reinhardt, Thorsten .
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2011, 139 (12) :3887-3905
[6]   Large discrepancies in summer climate change over Europe as projected by global and regional climate models: causes and consequences [J].
Boe, Julien ;
Somot, Samuel ;
Corre, Lola ;
Nabat, Pierre .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2020, 54 (5-6) :2981-3002
[7]   Spectral representation of the annual cycle in the climate change signal [J].
Bosshard, T. ;
Kotlarski, S. ;
Ewen, T. ;
Schaer, C. .
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2011, 15 (09) :2777-2788
[8]   Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season [J].
Brogli, Roman ;
Sorland, Silje Lund ;
Kroner, Nico ;
Schar, Christoph .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (11)
[9]   The Role of Hadley Circulation and Lapse-Rate Changes for the Future European Summer Climate [J].
Brogli, Roman ;
Kroner, Nico ;
Sorland, Silje Lund ;
Luthi, Daniel ;
Schar, Christoph .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (02) :385-404
[10]  
Brovkin V., 2019, Earth System Grid Federation., DOI [10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.748, DOI 10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.748]