Pandemic portfolio choice

被引:5
作者
Kraft, Holger [1 ]
Weiss, Farina [1 ]
机构
[1] Goethe Univ, Fac Econ & Business, Theodor W Adorno Pl 3, D-60323 Frankfurt, Germany
关键词
Dynamic programming; Existence and uniqueness; Verification theorem; Portfolio theory; Recursive utility; CONSUMPTION-INVESTMENT PROBLEMS; INTERNATIONAL ASSET ALLOCATION; OPTIMIZATION; MARKET; JUMPS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejor.2022.05.035
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
COVID-19 has taught us that a pandemic can significantly increase biometric risk and at the same time trigger crashes of the stock market. Taking these potential co-movements of financial and non-financial risks into account, we study the portfolio problem of an agent who is aware that a future pandemic can affect her health and personal finances. The corresponding stochastic dynamic optimization problem is complex: It is characterized by a system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations which are coupled with optimality conditions that are only given implicitly. We prove that the agent's value function and opti-mal policies are determined by the unique global solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. We show that the optimal portfolio strategy is significantly affected by the mere threat of a potential pandemic. (c) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:451 / 462
页数:12
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