Extended kernel Risk-Sensitive loss unscented Kalman filter based robust dynamic state estimation

The traditional unscented Kalman filter (UKF) with mean square error (MSE) criterion for dynamic state estimation (DSE) is sensitive for unknown non-Gaussian noise and outliers. Leading to biased state estimates. This paper proposes a novel robust UKF with extended kernel risk-sensitive loss (EKRSL) for DSE considering unknown non-Gaussian process and measurement noises. Instead of MSE criterion, a novel robust EKRSL via the generalized Gaussian density is defined in KRSL framework, and we further develop a new robust UKF using the EnKRSL(called EKRSL-UKF). To obtain the recursive form of EKRSL-UKF, the statistical linear regression model is used and the fixed-point iteration is further utilized to iteratively get the optimal state estimate. An error constrained method is also introduced to restrict the error to address the numerical instability problem caused by large outliers. Furthermore, an enhanced EKRSL-UKF is established by using an exponential function of innovation to improve the estimation accuracy in the presence of noise uncertainties. Numerical results carried out on the IEEE 39-bus test system demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve desired robustness without loss of estimation accuracy under various conditions.