2022 UK heatwave impacts on agrifood: implications for a climate-resilient food system

被引:5
作者
Davie, Jemma C. S. [1 ]
Falloon, Pete D. [1 ,2 ]
Pain, Daniel L. A. [3 ]
Sharp, Tierney J. [3 ]
Housden, Maddie [3 ]
Warne, Thomas C. [3 ]
Loosley, Tom [3 ]
Grant, Erin [3 ]
Swan, Jess [3 ]
Spincer, James D. G. [3 ]
Crocker, Tom [1 ]
Cottrell, Andrew [1 ]
Pope, Edward C. D. [1 ]
Griffiths, Simon [4 ]
机构
[1] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Met Off, Exeter, England
[2] Univ Bristol, Fac Life Sci, Sch Biol Sci, Bristol, England
[3] Univ Exeter, Fac Environm Sci & Econ, Nat Sci, Exeter, England
[4] John Innes Ctr, Crop Genet Dept, Norwich, England
关键词
heatwave; agriculture; food; poultry; wheat; adaptation; climate change; resilience; SUPERMARKET REFRIGERATION SYSTEMS; WHEAT; TEMPERATURE; PERFORMANCE; DROUGHT; STRESS;
D O I
10.3389/fenvs.2023.1282284
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Record-breaking high temperatures were experienced across the United Kingdom during summer 2022. The impacts of these extreme climatic conditions were felt across the food system, including increased energy costs for cold storage, the failure of refrigeration systems in numerous retail facilities, and impacts on livestock including heat stress. Future climate projections indicate an increased likelihood and duration of extreme high temperatures like those experienced in 2022. Learning from the impacts of the 2022 heatwave on the United Kingdom food system can help identify adaptations that build resilience to climate change. We explore the impacts through two case studies (United Kingdom poultry and wheat sectors), discuss potential adaptation options required for a climate-resilient, net-zero United Kingdom food system and consider future research needs. United Kingdom chicken meat production was 9% lower in July 2022 than July 2021; in contrast, energy costs increased for both production and refrigeration. Potential heatwave adaptation measures for poultry include transitioning to heat tolerant chicken breeds, lower stocking density, dehumidification cooling and misting systems, nutritional supplements, and improving retail refrigeration resilience and efficiency. United Kingdom wheat yields were 8% higher in 2022 than the 2017-2021 average. Increases were observed in every United Kingdom region but were least in the South and East where the heatwave intensity was strongest. Future adaptation measures to avoid negative impacts of summer heat stress on winter wheat could include earlier maturing and heat/drought tolerant varieties, earlier autumn sowing, targeted irrigation for drought around anthesis, and soil and water conservation measures.
引用
收藏
页数:8
相关论文
共 62 条
[1]   Enhancing energy efficiency in supermarket refrigeration systems through a robust energy performance indicator [J].
Acha, Salvador ;
Du, Yujia ;
Shah, Nilay .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REFRIGERATION-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DU FROID, 2016, 64 :40-50
[2]   Technique to Develop Auto Load Shedding and Islanding Scheme to Prevent Power System Blackout [J].
Ahsan, Md Quamrul ;
Chowdhury, Abdul Hasib ;
Ahmed, S. Shahnawaz ;
Bhuyan, Imamul Hassan ;
Haque, Mohammad Ariful ;
Rahman, Hamidur .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2012, 27 (01) :198-205
[3]  
Aleem M., 2022, BT-energy-efficient Systems for Agricultural Applications, P19, DOI [10.1007/978-3-030-86394-4_2, DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-86394-4_2]
[4]   Simulating the impact of extreme heat and frost events on wheat crop production: A review [J].
Barlow, K. M. ;
Christy, B. P. ;
O'Leary, G. J. ;
Riffkin, P. A. ;
Nuttall, J. G. .
FIELD CROPS RESEARCH, 2015, 171 :109-119
[5]  
Berry P., 2021, The third UK climate change risk assessment technical report
[6]   A comparative study on the environmental impact of supermarket refrigeration systems using low GWP refrigerants [J].
Beshr, M. ;
Aute, V. ;
Sharma, V. ;
Abdelaziz, O. ;
Fricke, B. ;
Radermacher, R. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REFRIGERATION-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DU FROID, 2015, 56 :154-164
[7]  
Betts R., 2021, The third UK climate change risk assessment
[8]  
Bezner Kerr R., 2022, Food, fibre, and other ecosystem products climate change 2022: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. contribution of working group ii to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change
[9]   Influence of high dietary vitamin E supplementation on egg production and plasma characteristics in hens subjected to heat stress [J].
Bollengier-Lee, S ;
Mitchell, MA ;
Utomo, DB ;
Williams, PEV ;
Whitehead, CC .
BRITISH POULTRY SCIENCE, 1998, 39 (01) :106-112
[10]   Breeding of tomorrow's chickens to improve well-being [J].
Cheng, H. -W. .
POULTRY SCIENCE, 2010, 89 (04) :805-813