National-Scale Detection of Reservoir Impacts Through Hydrological Signatures

Reservoirs play a vital role in the supply and management of water resources and their operation can significantly alter downstream flow. Despite this, reservoirs are frequently excluded or poorly represented in large-scale hydrological models, which can be partly attributed to a lack of open-access data describing reservoir operations, inflow and storage. To help inform the development of reservoir operation schemes, we collate a suite of hydrological signatures designed to detect the impacts of reservoirs on the flow regime at large-scales from downstream flow records only. By removing the need for pre-and-post-reservoir flow timeseries (a requirement of many pre-existing techniques), these signatures facilitate the assessment of flow alteration across a much wider range of catchments. To demonstrate their application, we calculate the signatures across Great Britain in 111 benchmark (i.e., near-natural) catchments and 186 reservoir catchments (where at least one upstream reservoir is present). We find that abstractions from water resource reservoirs induce deficits in the water balance, and that pre-defined flow releases (e.g., the compensation flow) reduce variability in the downstream flow duration curve and in intra-annual low flows. By comparing signatures in benchmark and reservoir catchments, we define thresholds above which the influence of reservoirs can be distinguished from natural variability and identify 40 catchments significantly impacted by the presence of reservoirs. The signatures also provide insights into local reservoir operations, which can inform the development of tailored reservoir operation schemes, and identify locations where current modeling practices (which lack reservoir representation) will be insufficient.